DFS Cash Game Breakdown 2019 Week 9

By Kyle Dvorchak
Kyle Dvorchak

Quarterback

Matt Moore, Kansas City

Every position is awful this week in terms of value except for quarterback. That means it's time to pay down at quarterback. There are a few options below $5,000 on DraftKings and below $6,600 on Fanduel:
  • Mitchell Trubisky - only meets these criteria on Fanduel and has all but stopped rushing the football
  • Ryan Fitzpatrick and [Insert Washington Starter Here] - Fitzpatrick and whoever Washington chooses to start could both be benched so rule them out
  • Brandon Allen - horrible weapons on a run-first team
That leaves Matt Moore, who is expected to start one more week while Patrick Mahomes rehabs a dislocated knee.

Moore faces the Vikings defense. Minnesota has stifled the efficiency of opposing passers but their offense is so prolific they force quarterbacks to throw early and often. They have allowed the third-most pass attempts in the NFL.

Moore also gets a cavalcade of weapons in his arsenal that can take any play to the house. They have seven players with a reception of 30+ yards this season and 10 players with a reception of at least 20 yards. Kansas City will trot out five playmakers on every snap so no mater where Moore looks, there's always touchdown potential.

Running Back

Le'Veon Bell, New York Jets

Le'Veon Bell has been a disappointment to fantasy owners this season but he's been one of the only bright spots for the Jets in his first year with the team. Bell is eighth in touches per game at 20.1 and a lot of those touches have come through the air. He's fifth in the NFL among running backs at 4.6 receptions per game.

This week is the game he turns all of that volume into fantasy points. He faces Miami and the Jets are three-point favorites. The Dolphins have allowed a league-high 992 rushing yards to opposing running backs and the next eight teams have all played one more game than them. They are a bottom-four team in fantasy points per game allowed to running backs on Fanduel and DraftKings.

Bell has been getting volume and now his matchup will finally let him make the most of that.

Jaylen Samuels, Pittsburgh

The statuses of James Conner and Benny Snell Jr. are currently unknown but it seems more likely that Conner doesn't play and Snell is up in the air as well. If Conner misses, Samuels is the free square of the week. He was able to play Monday night after logging full practices prior to Week 8 but Pittsburgh held him out in a game that they didn't need to be at full strength to win. He's now healthy and ready to take on a workhorse role if need be.

In three starts last season, Samuels was a dominant fantasy back:
  • 18 touches per game
  • 109.3 scrimmage yards
  • 4 receptions
Assuming Conner is out, Samuels is simply the free square of the week and you have to play him.

Wide Receiver

Jarvis Landry, Cleveland

This is just a bad price for Jarvis Landry. He has been targeted seven times in five of seven games this season and has had a floor of five targets per game. His volume floor is incredibly high for his price (especially on DraftKings where he is just $4,500).

Landry is 21st in targets for receivers but is below that on Fanduel in terms of salary by a few spots. On DraftKings he is barely inside the top-30 in cost.

The Browns are favorites this week with a total that has swung five points in their direction since opening. Sharps like them this week and you should like their offense.

Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay

It was Mike Evans who went off last week but the signs were there that it could have been a Chris Godwin outing. He was targeted eight times but only connected on four of them and did not score. Godwin has 63 targets on the season and has seen at least eight targets in each of his past four games. He was on a streak of three games with 125 receiving yards heading into last week.

This week, he and Tampa Bay are traveling to Seattle to play in a game with the highest total of the week (51.5 points). It's important to invest some amount of salary dollars and players in this game because of the scoring potential it holds. Godwin is the best way to do so.

Tight End

Zach Ertz, Philadelphia

Ertz hasn't paid off his costly ADP in season-long leagues but he's a great play at his price ($4,700 on DraftKings and $6,000 on Fanduel) in DFS.

This season, Ertz is still one of the best tight ends for volume:
  • 601 air yards - 2nd among tight ends
  • 64 targets - 2nd
  • .53 WOPR (combined target market share and share of air yards) - 4th
Part of this has been touchdown production. He has just one score on the season. He is one of just four tight ends with more than 30 targets to have a single score on the season. Every player with more than 50 targets has multiple scores...except for Ertz.

He is getting the volume that we expect of an elite tight end but hasn't produced the fantasy points to follow. That will turn around sooner rather than later.

Defense

Carolina

The Washington defense is under $2,000 on DraftKings and is a top option at defense their for the price alone. However, Carolina is the best defense play across both major sites.

The Panthers have been a crushing defense this season. They are second in sacks at 30 and third in passes defended at 46.

This week they host the Titans led by Ryan Tannehill:
  • 2.6% career interception rate
  • 6.8 adjusted yards per attempt
  • 87.6 Passer Rating
Tannehill wasn't good enough to make it in Miami, a land of football despair. He's going to come crashing down to Earth this season and the Panthers are just the team to deliver that come-down to him.