Back to Draft Strategies

Draft Strategy Articles Archived from 2017
Applying STOMP Fantasy Football Draft Theory & Analyzing the Results
By Jen Ryan
Jen Ryan Applying STOMP Fantasy Football Draft Theory & Analyzing the Results Stop what you are doing and read Emil Kadlec’s Introduction to STOMP Fantasy Football Draft Theory again: https://www.footballdiehards.com/fantasy-football-columns/html/STOMP-Fantasy-Football-Draft- ...


Upside Hunting: WR Draft Day Bargains
By Alex McCarthy
Alex McCarthy To get the most bang for your buck in a dynasty startup, you want to target players whose potential value is higher than their current price. Since I tend to avoid rookies, my favorite way to find these bargains is to look for players who have “red flags” that I feel h ...


Upside Hunting: QB and TE Draft Day Bargains
By Alex McCarthy
Alex McCarthy ADP= Average Draft Position ECR= Expert Consensus Rank MBO= My Biased Opinion Disclaimer: The VORP statistics referenced in the Aaron Rodgers and Rob Gronkowski sections below can be misleading if applied or interpreted incorrectly. VORP analysis does not take int ...


Upside Hunting: RB Draft Day Bargains
By Alex McCarthy
Alex McCarthy ADP= Average Draft Position ECR= Expert Consensus Rank MBO= My Biased Opinion Jordan Howard ADP: RB8 ECR: RB8 MBO: RB4 Why He’s Being Doubted: 1. His athletic measurables are unspectacular and he doesn’t have breakaway speed. 2. He will likely be fa ...


Don’t Scoff at Goff and 3 More Preseason Observations
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros What should be believe and what is just preseason noise? That’s the fine line we walk when analyzing preseason action. Here are some of my key takeaways from last week’s games. LOS ANGELES RAMS Jarred Goff had an awful rookie season. This we can all agree on, and mo ...


Draft Strategy The Balanced Approach
By Armando Marsal
Armando Marsal Over the years there is one question that I consistently get asked as fantasy drafts approach. That question is, “what is your draft strategy in your leagues?” Truth be told, I have always been one to focus on receivers in the early rounds, even before the zero running ...


Zero RB - Running Backs to Target 2017
By Armando Marsal
Armando Marsal The zero running back strategy is one that is trending in today’s fantasy draft. This is when fantasy owners hold off on drafting a running back in the early rounds and focus their attention on other positions, mainly wide receivers. If you are taking this approach on d ...


Strength of schedule and breakout predictor, 2017—2018
By Adam Hall
Adam Hall What’s the best way to succeed that no one considers? When you close your eyes and think hard about what makes for a successful fantasy team what comes to mind? An elite quarterback, a receiving corps like the Giants perhaps? Or maybe it’s an offensive line like the C ...


2017 Football Diehards Staff Draft Analysis
By Jen Ryan
Jen Ryan We all love our home leagues and they are near and dear to us, but the Football Diehards staff league is as close to my heart as my family league. I am fortunate to be surrounded by and work with (and for) some of the most brilliant minds in fantasy football. When we pa ...


2017 The Curse Of 370
By Gary Davenport
Gary Davenport What It Is And Why You Need To Know About It In 2017 I’m as big a backaholic as anyone. An old-school fantasy football enthusiast who places a lot of importance on assembling a strong stable of running backs on draft day. While it’s become trendier to draft one or ev ...


Be Like Belichick- Exploiting Market Bias, Part Two
By Alex McCarthy
Alex McCarthy The Young and The Restless While we can use expert rankings and ADP data to try and establish “market value” for players, at the end of the day every league (and therefore every trade market) is different. By identifying the bias within yours you can target undervalue ...


Be Like Belichick- Exploiting Market Bias, Part One
By Alex McCarthy
Alex McCarthy Respect Your Elders While we can use expert rankings and ADP data to try and establish “market value” for players, at the end of the day every league (and therefore every trade market) is different. By identifying the bias within yours you can target undervalued pla ...


Fantasy Running Backs Circle of Talent two
By JJ Buck
JJ Buck Cincinnati Bengals Talent - Joe Mixon Head coach Marvin Lewis is all in on Mixon saying, "He's off the charts talent-wise," Lewis said. "Big, fast, catch, run, see, smart -- and he's a 20-year-old kid. He's as smart as a whip. You know, I mean, those things are fun. ...


2017 Strength Of Schedule Your Blueprint For Success
By Michael Valverde
Michael Valverde The strength of schedule is an interesting instrument to use in fantasy leagues. It can be an incredibly useful tool or something that you toss out the window after Week 3. What it does very well is help a fantasy owner set a blueprint for success. By plotting each week ...


Youre On the Clock Allen Robinson
By Armando Marsal
Armando Marsal As fantasy owners, we tend to place a lot of emphasis on the previous season statistics in our decision making process and sometimes a little too much, if you ask me. Yes, it is very important to look at last year’s numbers, but before deciding on whether or not to draf ...


STOMP Fantasy Football Draft Theory - Strategies
By Emil Kadlec
Emil Kadlec STOMP Draft Theory (Strategic Targeting Of ADP Mapping) Click here for: STOMP Draft Tool (Keep your eyes open at all times during your draft!) Fantasy football managers are always looking for new and innovative ways to help them prepare for and exec ...


Crafting a 2 QB Fantasy Football Feast
By John Laub
John Laub   Click to go to: Crafting a 2 QB Fantasy Football Feast part II                    Crafting a 2-QB Fantasy Football Feast           Benjamin Franklin ranks among my favorite Americans, and I attempt to adhere to his sage advice. One of my beloved maximums of t ...


Crafting a 2-QB Fantasy Football Feast part II
By John Laub
John Laub   Click to go to: Crafting a 2 QB Fantasy Football Feast part I                    Crafting a 2-QB Fantasy Football Feast                                         part II            Team 3: June 21, 2017   ...


Understanding Stackcuffing
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros In my last article on this subject I introduced the concept of Stackcuffing which is a mixture of old fashioned handcuffing which rarely applies in the NFL anymore and Stacking which is a DFS term which I found was being misused in describing putting two RB from the NFL ...


You’re On the Clock: Ezekiel Elliott
By Armando Marsal
Armando Marsal Being in the limelight might be something that some athletes enjoy, however, when the attention is mainly negative, it can become quite the opposite. Ezekiel Elliott continues to get buzz, but for all the wrong reasons. He is dealing with a domestic violence allegation, ...


Throwing ADP out The Fantasy Football Door
By Armando Marsal
Armando Marsal What is ADP? Average draft position, also known as ADP, can be defined as a report that lists players by the average spot that they have been drafted over a range of multiple fantasy football drafts. This report generates numbers such as an overall average, highest pic ...


Offseason vs In-Season for Fantasy Football
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros It is an interesting question right? When the question came to me my first thought was if I ask this on twitter it could be anything from 100 percent to zero in favor of in season. I figured about maximum two thirds to one third in favor of in season. My first attempt ...


MFL2X Fantasy Football Draft Strategies
By Michael Dubner
Michael Dubner My Fantasy League has recently added the MFL2X league option. MFL2Xs are similar to the draft-only MFL10s with the notable difference that 1st-through-5th place win double their entry fee (hence the 2X), as opposed to the winner-take-all 10X format of MFL10s. While M ...


Fantasy Football Running Backs What is a Name Worth?
By JJ Buck
JJ Buck A theme of my early fantasy articles has been depth. The players you need to know in case of injury or standout camp performance. Hit the waiver wire and win the weekend. Veteran running backs are the ultimate gamble, in real life and fantasy football. There are known n ...


Curbing your Enthusiasm in Fantasy Football MFL10s
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros Enthusiasm is wonderful and often contagious. Sometimes it is the roar of the crowd pressing forward that motivates and other times it is our natural desire to get ahead of the pack and to find an edge that drives us further than we reasonably should. How do we temper ...


Taking Eli Manning as Your Fantasy Football QB1
By Armando Marsal
Armando Marsal The quarterback position is typically one that I wait until later in my drafts to address. Granted, everyone wants the Aaron Rodgers of the world, but I am not willing to invest an early round pick on this position as the margin in fantasy points between QB1 and QB10 is ...


Best Single-Season Fantasy Football Performances RB Edition
By Michael Dubner
Michael Dubner There is always a point during the NFL (and fantasy football) off-season where I like to take a step-back and relish on past greatness. As we get closer to the start of the NFL season and fantasy football talk continues build, I want to take a second to look back at the ...


Why does everybody playing fantasy football hate Tyrod?
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros Tyrod Taylor is being drafted 18th QB off the board according to recent ADP. This despite finishing much better than that ADP each of the two last years. In this article we are going to look at both why everyone seems to hate Tyrod and why taking advantage of this bi ...


Buck Going Deep NFC
By JJ Buck
JJ Buck The first instalment of going deep previewed AFC receivers. Now it’s time to look at the NFC rosters and fish out potential WR3 or future options; players in line for an increased role due to injury, cuts or positive camp performance. Arizona Cardinals You’re not a ...


Fantasy Football Questions That Will Make You Queasy
By Michael Dubner
Michael Dubner While many members of the fantasy football community are unquestionably expecting certain players to have large roles in their respective offenses, I have some concerns as to whether these assumptions are, in fact, accurate. Below are four questions I will be pondering ...


Fantasy Football Best Ball Strategy Tips
By Michael Dubner
Michael Dubner While August is the time for season-long fantasy football drafts, most June drafts are Best Ball formats (i.e. MFL10). There are key strategy differences for season-long vs. best ball fantasy football leagues, which I will discuss in this article. 1. Optimize Roste ...


Fantasy Football Trading Part 2
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros Know your league’s rules and your fellow league members. One of the lessons you’ll learn in this series is that to be good at trading, you have to access and put into practice good advice. Even if you’re in a league that doesn’t allow trading, these lessons will help y ...


8 Ludicrous Fantasy Football Efficiency Facts
By Michael Dubner
Michael Dubner Every year, there are a handful of players who have insanely efficient or laughably inefficient metrics. While some of these facts and projections are strictly for comedic purposes (i.e. Derrick Henry) and some are more realistic (i.e. Michael Thomas), all are interesti ...


Stackcuffing RB in drafts in 2017
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros I was having a nice discussion about stacking RB in MFL10’s on Twitter the other day and someone asked when did stacking take the place of the traditional word “handcuffing” which described drafting your stud RB’s backup. My reply was that the traditional term h ...


Early Best Ball MFL10 ADP Review
By Michael Dubner
Michael Dubner We are still early in the fantasy football draft season, and Average Draft Position (ADP) is all over the place. The ADP in June will look very different than the ADP in August, especially in the middle-to-late rounds. A lot can, and will, change by August. June MyFanta ...


Is the sexy pick the correct pick?
By Isaac Cruz
Isaac Cruz It’s a mistake that plagues fantasy football owners. It can have you making desperate trade offers and nervously scanning the waiver wire for any value to bolster your team. Wasting high draft picks on players with the ‘sexy’ name who fail to produce can cripple your ...


Buck Going Deep AFC
By JJ Buck
JJ Buck In season long fantasy football leagues, having the early waiver priority can pay off big time. Finding a breakout star or a couple weeks of high-level output is a great feeling. You beat everyone else to the party. What’s even better, grabbing that player late in your ...


Expecting the Unexpected: Lessons from the 2016 Fantasy Football Season
By Alex McCarthy
Alex McCarthy For as much time as enthusiasts invest in fantasy football, you would think that we could predict player performance with near certainty. Every year we obsess over analysis and repeat subjective narratives until we convince ourselves that they’re fact, and every year s ...


Analyzing MFL10 WR in 2016
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros Analyzing MFL10 WR in 2016 The next position to study in my analytics of big weeks in MFL10’s takes us to the WR position. I studied the results for the top 64 WR broken out by points per game in the format. As I did for RB’s I have calculated the percentage of ...


RB achievements in MFL10’s in 2016
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros About a week or so ago I did an article on How to choose Defenses in MFL10’s and you can access that article here https://www.footballdiehards.com/fantasy-football-columns/html/primer-on-choosing-defenses-in-mfl10s.cfm. What jumped out at me as I did my study was that ...


The Gronk Effect: The Value at Tight End
By JJ Buck
JJ Buck Having the best player and a decided advantage at one position is a good feeling heading into a fantasy football weekend. Two of the last three years, I drafted Rob Gronkowski. I was all in on winning that position, plus the upside the best tight end in the game brings ...


Primer on Choosing Defenses in MFL10’s
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros Primer on Choosing Defenses in MFL10’s A couple of years ago there was a TV show called Everybody Hates Chris. Growing up it is so easy to feel out of the loop, and that everyone hates you. In picking Defenses MFL10 leagues this is not an illusion. Most I have spok ...


Current MFL10 Flexibility Trendspotting
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros As I mentioned I am older than most of you who probably will read this. One of the key lessons I have learned through experience is the difference between saying something and the willingness to do it. I mean change is hard and not everyone is cut out for it. One of th ...


Introduction to Trading
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros Four ways to win at Fantasy Football There are basically only four ways we can help ourselves win at Fantasy Football and they are 1-Drafting 2-Who to start and who to sit 3-Waivers 4-Trading There is a ton of content out on the market on the first three but eac ...


Using Warren Buffett’s techniques to identify buying opportunities in Fantasy Football
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros Warren Buffett is one of the 3-4 richest people in the world. What makes him unique is that he is the only one of the richest people who made his fortune entirely by buying and selling stocks. It is not breaking any new ground to compare who has value and who is o ...


Fine tuning of MFL10s
By Tod Burros
Tod Burros The purpose of this article is to make sure those of you like myself who do a lot of MFL10 or best ball leagues are doing all the little things that can put ourselves in optimal positions to win each draft. This is not a beginner’s article but an article on fine tuning ...


A Pre-NFL-Draft Look at Late Round Sleepers
By Jen Ryan
Jen Ryan I know it’s only April, but many people are actively drafting, some of us at a feverish rate. You can follow along with all of my best ball drafts on our homepage, and read up on some best ball basics here: (https://www.footballdiehards.com/fantasy-football-columns/html ...


Early MFL10 Observations
By Jen Ryan
Jen Ryan February 27, 2017 was the day the itch was scratched for people like me. The fine folks over at My Fantasy League kicked the doors open to their MFL10 lobby, and I got busy right away. If you are unfamiliar with MFL10’s and the best ball format, you can read the primer ...


There is No Offseason MFL10s are Opening this Week
By Jen Ryan
Jen Ryan Do you get that empty feeling on Super Bowl Monday? I do. The finality of the football season hits me like a ton of bricks. Sixteen games are not enough. The 27 weeks of daily fantasy football, which include the pre and postseason, still does not feel like enough. There ...