DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2020 Week 9
Josh Allen, BUF
Allen is going to be discounted because of his recent poor performances but they should have been expected. He has always been a high variance passer and the lows were bound to come. Don't be surprised when variance swings the other way and he shreds the league's worst passing defense in Seattle. The Seahawks are allowing 358.7 passing yards per game, a league-low by nearly 50 yards.
Deshaun Watson, HOU
The Texans' game versus Jacksonville features a total over 50 points and Watson gets one of the easier matchups for a quarterback. No team is allowing a higher yards per attempt and the Jaguars this year (8.4). After a slow start to the year, Watson has hit 300 yards in four consecutive games has scored multiple times in five consecutive games.
Antonio Gibson, WAS
Gibson is one of the players that makes both need cash and tournament pieces this week because of his strong floor and ceiling combination. Before Washington is fine he had a career-high in carries at 20 which he converted into 128 yards and a touchdown. He was only targeted once but that was likely the result of a massively positive game-script versus Dallas. The Giants are modest favorites again this week which could result in another run-heavy approach from them. That Will set up Gibson for another massive game on the ground.
James Robinson, JAC
On the off chance that Jacksonville is able to hang with Houston, they're likely to use Robinson on the way there. His Dominator Rating through eight weeks is fifth among running backs. He's also scored a third of the team's scores. If Robinson has a big day, it likely means the Jaguars are keeping to close with Houston. That would keep Watson throwing throughout the game and makes the two a heat correlation play.
Will Fuller, HOU
If the Texans are going to move the chains, it's going to happen through dee looks to Fuller. His 37.3% air yards share is top-10 in the league. He's also the primary red zone threat for Watson with eight looks inside the 20-yard line. That mark is also inside the top 10 receivers. Brandon Cooks is also a viable stacking option but Fuller should be the first place to look for a Houston receiver.
Stefon Diggs, BUF
The Seahawks are getting slaughtered by opposing receivers this year. They are giving up 61.5 DraftKings points to the wide receiver position this year. That mark is the highest in the league and the No. 31 team is 13.3 points behind Seattle. Even more so than Fuller, Diggs has to be involved for Buffalo to succeed:
* 28.9% target share - No. 9
* 35.8% - No. 9
Diggs is the entirety of the Buffalo passing attack and gets the easiest matchup in the league this week.
Evan Engram, NYG
Engram has been a fantasy disappointment for most of the year but the underlying volume has been there for him. He has 54 targets and a 20.8% target share. Both marks are top-five among tight ends. Engram also offers some leverage off of one of the most popular defenses of the week, Washington.
Jordan Akins, HOU
Akins is the best way to make Watson stacks different from the field. When he was healthy Akins was operating as the primary pass-catching tight end for Houston. He averaged 3.5 catches for 42 yards before suffering a concussion and ankle injury (including the game in which he left with the injuries). Akins is an interesting way to cap off Watson double-stacks.
Drew Lock and the Broncos pass-catchers are likely to draw some ownership for the first time this season after an impressive comeback win over the Chargers. That doesn't change the fact that they operate at a below-average pace in neutral game-scripts and have Drew Lock as their quarterback. He has thrown for over 254 yards once in ten starts and has come in below five adjusted yards per attempt in half of his games.