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DFS Cash Game Breakdown 2019 Week 11

By Kyle Dvorchak

Quarterback

Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

The NFL record for single-season rushing records are:

147 carries
1,039 yards
14 scores

Lamar Jackson's season-long pace

188.8 carries
1,248 yards
10.7 scores

Jackson is on pace to have top-24 running back season this year and set records as a quarterback rushing to ball. His floor is higher than any passer this year and maybe any passer in the history of the NFL. This week he faces the Texans in a game with a 49-point total The Ravens have an implied team total of 26.75. Jackson's price isn't nearly what it should be no matter what site you're playing on.

Running Back

Brian Hill, Atlanta Falcons

Brian Hill is this week's Free Square running back. The Falcons headed into last week without Ito Smith, who was recently placed on IR with a neck injury. They left without Devonta Freeman, who injured his foot and is expected to be out for multiple weeks. He will not play in Week 11.

That leaves Hill and Kenjon Barner as the only active backs with touches this season.
With Freeman out, Hill carried the ball 20 times and was targeted twice. Barner received a single carry and no targets. It's clear that he's their lead-back and it's not particularly close.

That volume locks him in at his price ($4,800 on DraftKings and $5,900 on Fanduel).

Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers

With the salary savings, you can get by playing Brian Hill, there's no reason not to play Christian McCaffrey. CMC leads the NFL in touches per game at 25.9 and yards per game at 153.9. This week he faces the Atlanta and is a 5.5-point favorite at home.

In cash, you want your running backs to have positive game-script and you want them to be at home. McCaffrey checks both of those boxes.

McCaffrey doesn't have the best value projection on the slate. On a week where salary isn't tight, that doesn't matter. You lock down nearly 30 DraftKings points or 25 Fanduel points by rostering him and get the savings elsewhere.

Wide Receiver

Deebo Samuel, San Francisco 49ers

Deebo Samuel rounds out the free squares of the week and is another reason that paying up for McCaffrey is so easy. With George Kittle out and Emmanuel Sanders leaving early on Monday night, the 49ers leaned on Samuel in the passing game. He was targeted 11 times for a 24% target share.

This week the 49ers are expected to be without Kittle and Sanders again. They face Arizona. The Cardinals are bottom-10 in points allowed to receivers. Don't overthink it, fire up Samuel this week.

Mohamed Sanu, New England Patriots

Mohamed Sanu has become an integral part of the New England offense. He played on over half of the team's offensive snaps in his first game with them. He was targeted five times. In his second game with New England, he played on every snap and was targeted 14 times.

He and the Patriots face Philadelphia this week. The Eagles have been shredded by receivers all year. They are 24th in points allowed to opposing receiving units.

The pricing on Sanu has yet to adjust to his new role on an efficient offense. Take advantage of that in cash.

Tight End

Greg Olsen, Carolina Panthers

The Carolina offense is underpriced as a whole. The team is scoring 25 points per game, 12th in the NFL, and they face Atlanta, who has given up 28.8 points per game, 28th. D.J. Moore is also an option on the team, but tight end is extremely thin this week. So we'll look to play a Panther here instead.

Greg Olsen is eighth among tight ends with 56 targets on the season. Of those, 16 have come in his past two games. Bet on the Panthers offense continuing to roll with two of them in cash.

Defense

Washington Redskins

Washington simply gets the best matchup a defense can ask for right now: the New York Jets. The Jets have given up 4.3 sacks per game and turned the ball over 1.9 times per game. These marks are 32nd and 27th in the NFL. They are arguably the worst offense right now.

Washington, conversely, has been a tier above the truly terrible defenses this year. Four defenses are averaging under four points per game. Washington is over five.

They aren't a great unit, but against the Jets, Washington is one of the safest plays of the week.