DFS Cash Game Breakdown 2019 Week 7

By Kyle Dvorchak
Kyle Dvorchak

Quarterback

Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

No matter which site you play on, Matt Ryan is priced below players who he averages more fantasy points than on a weekly basis.

Ryan has put up at least 300 passing yards in all six of his games this season and is on pace to go over 5,300 yards. No team is passing the ball as much as the Falcons are at 43 attempts per game. Ryan's also averaging more than two touchdowns per game.

This week the Falcons host the Rams in a game with a 54.5-point total. No game is within 3.5 points of this one.

Ryan is guaranteed to be among the league's leaders in attempts this week and his probability of a multi-touchdown game is higher than any other passer's on the main slate. Lock him in at the top of your cash game lineup.

 

 

Running Back

 

 

Leonard Fournette, Jacksonville Jaguars

Last week Leonard Fournette showed us what his floor game looks like and it was still palatable and was nowhere near a death-sentence for lineups.

In a game that Jacksonville was losing a majority of the time, Fournette still saw 20 carries and six targets, all of which he caught. He only averaged 3.6 yards per carry but because of his receiving game work, Fournette still put up 118 yards from scrimmage. His season-low in total yards is 87. He trails only Christian McCaffrey in total touches (141).

Fournette faces the Bengals, who have given up the fourth-most receptions (39) and the second-most receiving yards (396) to opposing running backs this season. Now that Fournette is a bonafide wide receiver out of the backfield-he is seventh in running back targets-everything sets up for him to crush value again.

Keep firing up ol' Lenny until either site prices him up with the elite-volume backs.
 

Chris Carson, Seattle Seahawks

Fournette is the unquestioned best play at running back this week and after him every running backs has at least a minor red flag. Carson's is somewhat spotty receiving work. He's one catch away from topping his 2018 total of 20 but it has come in spurts. Carson has caught a single pass in two of his last four games.

Carson easily makes up for his inconsistent receiving usage with insanely high rushing equity. He trails only McCaffrey (a common theme in volume-based stats) at 118 rushing attempts.

The game-script also sets up well for Carson. He and the Seahawks are 3.5-point home favorites

This makes Carson a virtual lock for another 20-touch game.
 

Wide Receiver

Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals

No matter who his opponent is and no matter what receivers take the field with him, Larry Fitzgerald is getting peppered with targets each and every week. The old man has caught at least five balls in every game this season and has only dipped below 10 DraftKings points once. That was in Week 4 when he scored 9.7 points.

Fitzgerald's consistency is primarily a factor of his role in Kliff Kingsbury's offense. Fitz has played on more than 90% of the team's snaps and more than 84% of those snaps are in the slot. That's where the targets are funneled in this offense and it has made Fitzgerald the most consistent receiver in fantasy. This week his matchup with the Giants carries a 49.5-point total a and the Cardinals are underdogs again. Expect the passes to keep flowing towards Fitz.
 

Calvin Ridley, Atlanta Falcons

This article lists three Falcons as good cash plays and normally the more you stack a team the higher your lineup's risk is. This is still true with Ryan, Ridley, and the upcoming tight end. The thing that makes this stack more viable even in cash is how cheap it is on all sites. Hooper and Ryan are both good values with incredibly high floors while Ridley is extremely cheap. Ridley is outside the top-20 receivers in salary cost on both sites despite seeing 21 targets over his last three games.

With the total as high as it is in this game, it's reasonable to allocate three roters spots to Falcons players. Plus, Ridley costs very little so your overall salary isn't too highly leveraged to this single offense.

 

 

Tight End

 

 

Austin Hooper, Atlanta Falcons

Stats Austin Hooper is at least second among tight ends in:

  • Receptions - 42
  • Targets - 50
  • Receiving yards - 480
  • Receiving expected points - 82.7
  • PPR points - 108
  • Salary on DraftKings or Fanduel


Hooper has fully broken out as an elite tight but isn't priced like it. Add in the fact that he creates a stack with Ryan and Hooper is the obvious play at the position.

 

 

Defense

 

 

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts meet a handful of key criteria for a cash game defense. They play at home. They're favored. They're also cheap, allowing us to pay up at running back even more. Indianapolis' defense is priced in the bottom-six on both major sites.
They face the Texans this week and there's no doubt Texas will score points. However, Deshaun Watson has been extremely prone to taking sacks throughout his career and this season is no different. Watson is fith in the NFL with 18 sacks taken and the Colts are averaging 2.6 per game as a defense. The Indy defense is the clear choice if you're looking to pay down.