DFS Flex Targets DraftKings week 13 2018
The flex position really adds a unique dynamic to lineup construction as you can plug in a receiver, running back, or even a tight end. Using the flex position wisely can allow you to differentiate and create unique lineups. Every week calls for different situations, so depending on what the slate gives you and pricing, will determine on how you utilize this position. As usual, I’ll go over some players that I am targeting in the main slate this weekend that can be plugged into the flex spot.
Lamar Miller $4,600 vs. Cleveland Browns
Miller is averaging 18.2 touches, 111 total yards, and 17.9 DKFP points per game during his last five games. During that stretch he has 100 or more rushing yards in three games and has scored three touchdowns, while averaging a healthy 6.3 YPC. Despite the efficiency in recent weeks and the phenomenal matchup, Miller comes at a very affordable price. The Browns have been one of the more generous defenses to opposing backs. They have surrendered 1,204 rushing yards (6th most), 12 rushing touchdowns (3rd most), and 616 receiving yards (5th most) to the position, while also yielding 30.1 DKFP per game, which is good for fifth most in the league. Lastly, they rank 18th in DVOA versus opposing backs. The Texans are home favorites this week, setting up a potential great game environment for Miller.
Philip Lindsay $5,400 at Cincinnati Bengals
Lindsay continues to produce quality numbers, yet remains very affordable each week. Even in tougher matchups, he is finding a way to do it. This week, however, the matchup is a great one. The Bengals rank dead last in DVOA against running backs and are yielding the second most DKFP per game to the position (33.4). This unit has given up 1,301 rushing yards (4th most), 11 rushing touchdowns (4th most), 590 receiving yards (7th most), and six receiving touchdowns (tied for most in the league) to opposing backs, while allowing 4.9 yards per carry. Lindsay has scored five touchdowns in the last five games, and has topped 20 DKFP three times during that stretch, while scoring fewer than 16.6 DKFP just once. The Broncos are on the road, but are favored, so this could create a positive game script for their run game.
Adam Humphries $4,200 vs. Carolina Panthers
Humphries is coming off of a nice week where he caught 6-of-6 passes for 54 yards and a touchdown, scoring 17.4 DKFP. It was the third time in the last four games that he scores at least one touchdown and no less than 15 DKFP. Over his last five games, he has averaged 6.4 targets per game and in games this season that Jameis Winston has played all four quarters, he is averaging 6.3 targets per game. This week Humphries draws a plus matchup against the Panthers who are yielding 41.3 DKFP per game (8th most) to opposing wide outs. They have given up 152 receptions (6th most) for 2,010 receiving yards (5th most), and 13 receiving touchdowns to the position. He is expected to see one-on-one coverage from Captain Munnerlyn, who Humphries has a seven percent advantage rating against, according to PFF. Although he does not offer an immense ceiling, at this low price Humphries can certainly blow this price tag out of the water and can be considered a viable option in all formats.
D.J. Moore $5,600 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Moore followed up his career game performance in Week 11 with eight catches for 91 yards and 17.8 DKFP in Week 12. He has been trending in the right direction and so has his usage. Over the last two games, he has been peppered with 17 targets and has now seen at least five targets in six of his last seven games. This week he draws a phenomenal matchup against one of the worst secondaries in the league. The Bucs have allowed 17 receiving touchdowns (2nd most) to opposing wide outs, while surrendering 42.4 DKFP per game to the position, which is good for sixth most. His one-on-one matchup against Brent Grimes is one that he should excel in, as Moore has a 20 percent advantage rating, per PFF. The price for Moore has increased, but there is still a ceiling here and he is playing really well at this time. When you consider that and the plus matchup, he becomes very intriguing this week.
David Njoku $4,300 at Houston Texans
After multiple below average performances, Njoku caught 5-of-5 targets for 63 yards and a touchdown. Truth be told, that touchdown was pretty absurd, as he jumped into a defender near the goal line that was essentially carrying him backwards, but then some of the offensive linemen push them both into the end zone. That said, it was nice to see Njoku get back on track last week. This matchup against the Texans is one that favors Njoku as they rank 31st in DVOA against tight ends. Houston has surrendered 742 receiving yards (6th most) and six touchdowns (tied 3rd most) to the position, while giving up the sixth most DKFP per game (15.7). The lack of consistent volume and production over his last four games makes Njoku tough to trust in cash, but he does make for an enticing tournament option with plenty of upside.
Good luck to all this week. If you have any questions feel free to reach out to me on the Twitter machine: @Armando_Marsal