DFS Cash Game Breakdown 2019 Week 20
Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans
Ryan Tannehill has had the luxury of not needing to do a single thing throughout the playoffs. He’s attempted 29 passes while the Titan’s defense has allowed just 25 points across two games. This week is going to be different.
Tennessee is a 7.5-point road dog to a team that averaged 29.5 points per game, third in the NFL. They’re going to have to let Tannehill throw if they want to keep up with KC. Luckily for fantasy players, that’s probably a good thing as he’s been lights-out efficient this year. ? 117.5 Quarterback Rating - 1st ? 10.2 AY/A - 1st ? 7.7% touchdown rating - 2nd As long as the attempts are there, Tannehill is in line for a big day at a small price.
Damien Williams, Kansas City Chiefs
For every negative game-script passer, there’s an equal and opposite positive game-script rusher. That’s Damien Williams this week and the Chiefs have leaned on Williams extensively in the second half of this year. Since Week 9, excluding the game he started but left due to an injury, Williams has averaged 14.2 carries and 4.6 targets per game. He’s gone for 110.2 yards and 1.4 scores per game over that stretch.
Last week, LeSean McCoy and Darwin Thompson combined for two snaps and zero touches. Andy Reid has crowned Williams the bell cow and there’s no looking back.
Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers
The concern with Aaron Jones this whole year has been that, when healthy, Jamaal Williams poses a serious threat to his workload both as a rusher and a receiver. Jones has to break off long plays or score multiple times because he wasn’t getting there on volume alone.
That wasn’t the case as week as Jones handled 21 of 24 running back carries for the Packers
. He saw two of the three targets Aaron Rodgers threw to a running back and took the field for 84% of the team’s offensive snaps.
Jones’ touchdown upside is now a scoring floor and ceiling based on how much of the running back work he’s getting.
Emmanuel Sanders, San Francisco 49ers
The Conference Championship slate has a handful of receivers worth paying up for but very little in the way of value. Thankfully, both sites decided to misprice Emmanuel Sanders, who has been a different receiver since being acquired by San Francisco. With his new team, Sanders has averaged 9.5 yards per target and caught 67.9% of his targets. Both marks are 16th among receivers with at least 50 targets.
At $4,900 and $5,500 on DraftKings and Fanduel respectively, he’s the obvious receiver to pay down for this week.
This slate is brutal for known quantities and certainty. Derrick Henry is a man amongst children but he also has no receiving role and the Titans are major underdogs. Tyreek Hill has gone over 100 yards in months. The Packers have the most certainty but Vegas also has them pegged as scoring the least points of the weekend so stacking them is consuming large pieces of a very small pie. Instead of taking shots on these players, double tight end is a viable strategy in all formats this week.
Travis Kelce and George Kittle were 9th and 11th in receptions per game and led their respective teams in receiving yards this season. They were 9th and 12th in receiving yards per game.
Both project as top-five flex values this week because DraftKings and Fanduel refuse to price them like elite receivers, which is what they are and their production reflects that.
San Francisco 49ers
Defense is fairly simple this week via the process of elimination. There are two home-favorites of over a touchdown this week and our cash game quarterback faces one of them. That makes San Francisco the only option.
The 49ers were also the No. 2 defense by DVOA this year and allowed the fewest yards per play at 4.6.