DFS Tournament Game Breakdown 2020 Week 4
Russell Wilson, SEA
Wilson is projecting for fairly low ownership this week despite being in an insanely good spot for a blowup performance. He faces the Dolphins this week and Seattle has the highest implied team total of the main slate at 30.25. Miami has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this year. Wilson leads all players with 36.3 DraftKings points per game this year on the back of a career-high 34.3 attempts per game.
Dak Prescott, DAL
Prescott's fantasy output has been on another level this year. He's averaging 8.3 yards per attempt on a league-high 47.6 passes per game. He's only scored five times but that's because he punched in three on the ground in Week 2. He leads the NFL with 1,118 passing yards. Only four quarterbacks have ever posted more yards through Week 3 of the NFL season in the history of the league. He faces a Cleveland defense struggling with injuries in the secondary as a 4.5-point favorite at home. Keep firing Dak up again this week.
Kenyan Drake, ARI
Drake has shouldered the bulk of the workload as a rusher in Arizona but it hasn't paid fantasy dividends yet. He has seen 81.8% of the Cardinals' running back carries but only has 219 scoreless yards on the year. He's also failed to score on his five targets. Drake doesn't project to have a large receiving role so he works as a solid leverage play off the more chalky Kyler Murray. If he steals multiple scores from the passing game, Drake will bury Murray tournament lineups.
Johnathan Taylor, IND
Taylor appears to be the leading back in a committee with Jordan Wilkins and Nyheim Hines but that has largely been a product of his opponents. Taylor has seen 56% of the carries in Indianapolis after Week 1 when the team lost Marlon Mack. The Colts have won both games by a collective 46 points. In the first half of each game, Taylor has been given 75.8% of the Colts' carries. They're favored by less than a field goal this week versus the Bears. Taylor should be a part of the game plan until the final whistle for the first time all year.
Michael Gallup, WR
Gallup blew up in Week 3 with six catches for 138 yards and a touchdown. He out-targeted CeeDee Lamb and led his team in receiving yards. Now he's projected for less than 5% ownership despite the positive trends and his team owning a top-five implied team total on the main slate.
D.K. Metcalf, SEA
Both Tyler Lockett and Metcalf should be a part of Wilson lineups because he needs three touchdowns to be the optimal play in GPPs. The likely means that both of his receivers pay off their prices with at least one score. However, the lean in Seattle is Metcalf for ownership purposes. Lockett's three-score game last week has his ownership among the highest receivers on the slate. Metcalf's touchdown-losing mistake of slowing down at the goal line and losing a fumble has tampered his popularity for this week. He's still hs a top-five air yards share (46.4%) and is second on the team in targets. Fire up Metcalf in all Wilson stacks.
Mark Andrews, BAL
The Ravens' collapse versus Kansas City has all Baltimore players coming in at lowered ownership but this is still a team capable of putting up six or more scores in a given week. One bad game versus the Chiefs shouldn't change that outlook. Andrews is $800 cheaper than Travis Kelce on DraftKings and will have a fraction of the ownership at lock. He's a solid pivot off the expensive tight end chalk this week.
Jimmy Graham, CHI
Graham's outlook has drastically shifted since joining the Bears. He has three scores on the year, two of which came after the team benched Mitchell Trubsiky for Nick Foles. His 15.9% target share is top015 among tight ends and he's only $3,800 on DraftKings.
The Seahawks face Miami this week and stacking them with Russell Wilson isn't absurd. Turnovers and three-and-outs both give the ball back to Wilson and Ryan Fitzpatrick is no stranger to either of those. They also act as a soft pivot off the minimum priced Miami defense on DraftKings.