DFS Cash Game Breakdown 2019 Week 6

By Kyle Dvorchak

Quarterback

Gardner Minshew, Jacksonville

DFS players need to start treating Gardner Minshew as if he's the real deal, especially when his price doesn't reflect that. Minshew's 1,279 yards this season rank 5th all-time for a rookie quarterback in their first five starts. He's gotten there in an efficient manner as well:

66.7% completion percentage
5.5% touchdown rate
.6% interception rate
8.6 adjusted yards per attempt

Minshew's price hasn't risen significantly yet and he plays against New Orleans, who are top-five in points allowed to opposing passers.
Keep firing up Minshew till his price is corrected.

Running Back

Alvin Kamara, New Orleans

Alvin Kamara has been scoring fewer fantasy points with Teddy Bridgewater under center. That can't be disputed as he's averaged 15.9 DraftKings points per game after Week 1. What can be disputed is if that trend will hold. Last year Kamara averaged 12.9 carries and 5.4 receptions per game.

This season he's getting 15.5 carries and 4.8 receptions per game. The volume hasn't changed and, if anything, it's increased with Bridgewater in the lineup. The biggest factor in his dip in fantasy points has been touchdowns.

Last year Kamara found the end zone 18 times in 15 games. This season he has two scores in five games.

Kamara has been a hyper-efficient player in the past and once that bounces back, he'll have to volume to match it. Given the unholy things Christian McCaffrey did the Jags defense last week, Kamara should have no trouble with the encore.

Chris Carson, Seattle

After fumbling in each of his first three outings, Chris Carson has turned things around in a major way. He has 49 carries and five receptions in his past two games. He's hit 100 yards in both games.

Because of the slow start and meager ownership he's seen, Carson's price has been slow to rebound. This will be the most affordable 25 touches you will ever find.

This week he faces the Browns as a 1.5-point favorite. The game also has a total of 47 points. Carson isn't at risk of being game scripted out according to Vegas but there will be plenty of chances for him to find the end zone. He has the best combination of floor and ceiling of anyone near his price range.

Wide Receiver

D.J. Chark, Jacksonville

At 6'3", 199 lbs., and running a 4.34 Forty-Yard Dash, D.J. Chark has the size and speed to be a dominant receiver at the NFL level. Now he's getting the volume to match. Last week, Chark led all Jacksonville wide receivers in snaps (68/84), targets (11), and air yards (175).

Much like his quarterback, Chark has yet to see the price up that he deserves based on his volume and production. Plus, he's the only viable stacking option with Minshew. Dede Westbrook has as many targets as Chark on the season but Chark has more than double the fantasy points.

Deandre Hopkins, Houston Texans

In cash, you have to have some exposure to the showdown between the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs. The total for this game currently sits at 54.5 points. That is four points higher than the next closest game on the main slate. If this game shoots out like it's expected to and your lineup doesn't have anyone from the barn burner, it's curtains for your week.

Hopkins has had no fewer than seven targets in a game this season and has been on the field for all but 11 of the Texans' offensive snaps. Hopkins is still the dominant receiver from years past, he's just caught some bad beats with other players on his team bringing down the long balls and touchdown. With scores raining down in his game, Hopkins is a great value at the cheapest he's been in nearly a year.

Tight End

George Kittle, San Francisco

George Kittle has been nothing but dominant when views through a market share lens this year, He has a 28% market share of his team's air yards and 25% target share. Those marks rank first and second respectively. The only reason that hasn't led him to be the top-scoring tight end is that the 49ers haven't been forced to throw by their opponents. They are undefeated and their average margin of victory is 17.5 points.

This week the 49ers face the Rams on the road as 3.5-point dogs. That sets up perfectly for Kittle to make the most out of his immense target share. He scored his first touchdown and had the most fantasy points of his season on Monday night but pricing on both Fanudel and DraftKings were already out by then. Take advantage of this pricing inefficiency and fire up Kittle.

Defense

Washington

The Washington defense has been good this season but a defense's fantasy performance is mostly dictated by the offense they play. This week, Washington gets the Holy Grail of matchups: Miami.

Defenses playing Miami have scored an average of 18.3 DraftKings points per game and have had a floor of 11 points. Washington's defense isn't absurdly priced like most teams facing Miami making them even more enticing.