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12/3/2016
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The 2005 NFL Schedule:
Your Roadmap to Success
 by Greg Alan
4for4.com

 

Each season a number of NFL scheduling oddities appear. The 2005 season is no exception. If you're a serious Fantasy Football owner, you'll want to consider every edge possible -- including scheduling anomalies.

Learn how to use "Hot Spots" to target waiver wire pickups, craftily time trades and optimize your roster for the playoffs.

In this article, 4for4.com’s Greg Alan breaks down the 2005 NFL schedule. You’ll find vital tactics that can positively change your outlook and lead to big results.


Folks, to win your league championship, you must get hot at the end of the season!
 

All your research during the summer will fail to net a championship if you run out of gas during your Fantasy playoffs.

LESS EFFORT + MORE RESULTS = A MUST DO
Many Fantasy strategies and tactics often require tons of preparation and often result in rather minimal gain. However, leveraging “Hot Spots” requires little time and often yields a big upshot. Sound good? Buckle up, let’s dig in…

In truth, having just one or two favorable add-on scheduling match-ups during your playoffs is often all it takes to gain an edge -- and walk off with a championship.

In this article, I make a case for the phrase "Timing is Everything." Keep that theme in mind this season. If you wisely leverage the NFL schedule, you'll be able to cleverly time trades, artfully target waiver wire pickups and most importantly, optimize your roster for the playoffs.

Even if your draft doesn't go well, by leveraging "Hot Spots" you'll be turning negatives into positives and strengthening your team.

We’ll start out with some traditional Strength of Schedule (SOS) research. In addition, I'll offer up a few observations. 

I'll also share the initial 4for4.com 2005 Defense Team rankings. We'll integrate these rankings into the 2005 NFL schedule. Then, we'll build a roadmap and flag some "Hot Spots." Here, we'll pay particular attention to the final few weeks of the NFL regular season -- Fantasy Football playoff time.

 

In addition, we’ll review the 4for4.com Team Defense “Hot Spots” -- a great time saver in helping plan out your Team Defensive starts.

But, before we dig in, I need to get everyone on board and talk about how important the NFL schedule is when it comes to winning your Fantasy Football Championship.

Case Study No. 1 - Chris
Schussman wins big in WCOFF
Back in 2002, despite drafting Vinny Testaverde and Shane Matthews as his starting QBs and fielding a draft day roster that claimed Rod Gardner as a No. 1 receiver, the WCOFF league champion, Mr. Chris
Schussman, walked away with a cool $200,000 grand prize. How did he do it? Plain and simple, he got red-hot in the playoffs starting in Week 13. As it turns out, each of his first three draft picks had green (good) "Hot Spots" in the WCOFF playoffs. All three of his top picks delivered when it counted the most, and Chris walked away a huge WCOFF winner!

Case Study No. 2 – Greg Alan goes 53-0!
That same year, I competed in an 11-team private Fantasy league. In this auction/draft league I faced long time rivals, several of whom I consider to be among the strongest Fantasy Football players in the world. Because I built my roster around the 4for4.com "Hot Spots" I was literally unstoppable after mid season. In fact, I was the highest scoring team six weeks in a row! As a result, coming down the stretch I posted a head-to-head record of 53-0, dominated the playoffs and walked off with another championship.

Case Study No. 3 – Jim McVicar plans and wins FFTOC
The 2004 FFTOC Champion, Jim McVicar, summed it up this way, “
Doesn’t it always seem the same guys have the most luck each year.  I would wager that they are the same guys that are spending mega hours doing research.  It seems the harder you work the luckier you get. I started working on (and planning out) my lineups for last year in May just as I have this year… I really can’t wait for this season to begin.”  Turns out, Jim saved and planned to use Culpepper, McGahee, Lee Evans and Randy Moss in the final week of the FFTOC playoffs. All those players had easy match-ups, giving McVicar the points he needed to win the FFTOC title.

After all the draft day strategy, all the player evaluations and preseason analysis, the fact remains -- if you want to win a big-time national contest like WCOFF or the FFTOC you need to get hot at the end of the season. If you don't get hot at the end, your chances of winning it all are slim. The same is true in most local leagues -- you must end very strong.

Next, I'll address specifics about the 2005 NFL season. I'll focus on actionable tips and things you can use. 

Strength of Schedule (SOS)
To kick things off, we'll start by examining opponents' win-loss records from the prior season. As is the case with much SOS data, you'll want to use caution and good reasoning, especially if your SOS analysis completely hinges on performance from last year.

I'd strongly suggest you steer clear of fragmented stats derived solely from last year's data. As much as I love analysis, Fantasy managers that drill down into measures like "Yardage Allowed to a TE" and "Opponent's Red-zone FG accuracy" often miss the big picture. These studies often lack predictive rigor. Measures like "Yardage Allowed to an Opposing No. 3 WR" rarely hold up from year-to-year.

Rather than generate a stack of metrics based on last year's data, the trick is to look for significant outliers and shifts from the prior season. That’s exactly what Table I does for us.

Table I -
2005 Strength of Schedule
(ranking on change from 2004 to 2005)

 

Rank
(schedule going
easier to harder)

Team

%Change from 2004 to 2005

2005 Opponents
Prior to Season

2004 Opponents
Prior to Season 

2003 Opponents
Prior to Season

1

ARI

-7.4

0.449

0.523

0.443

2

STL

-6.7

0.445

0.512

0.457

3

SEA

-5.9

0.457

0.516

0.443

4

SF

-4.1

0.471

0.512

0.451

5

WAS

-2.7

0.465

0.492

0.537

6

PHI

-1.9

0.453

0.472

0.541

7

MIN

-1.6

0.480

0.496

0.478

8

CHI

-1.6

0.480

0.496

0.48

9

GB

-1.2

0.496

0.508

0.449

10

NO

-1.2

0.492

0.504

0.52

11

JAX

-1.2

0.504

0.516

0.537

12

HOU

-0.6

0.504

0.51

0.533

13

DET

-0.4

0.488

0.492

0.473

14

IND

-0.4

0.504

0.508

0.518

15

CAR

0

0.492

0.492

0.524

16

TEN

0.6

0.492

0.486

0.524

17

DAL

0.8

0.477

0.469

0.541

18

TB

0.8

0.492

0.484

0.539

19

NYG

0.8

0.488

0.48

0.522

20

ATL

1.2

0.5

0.488

0.523

21

CIN

1.5

0.523

0.508

0.508

22

OAK

1.5

0.527

0.512

0.482

23

MIA

1.6

0.547

0.531

0.516

24

BUF

1.9

0.531

0.512

0.504

25

NYJ

2.3

0.535

0.512

0.541

26

BAL

2.3

0.531

0.508

0.48

27

NE

2.7

0.539

0.512

0.527

28

PIT

3.2

0.508

0.476

0.473

29

DEN

3.3

0.523

0.49

0.494

30

SD

3.7

0.543

0.506

0.486

31

CLE

3.9

0.527

0.488

0.48

32

KC

4.7

0.535

0.488

0.475

 

 

A few things to keep in mind as you examine Table I…

* If you liked the Seahawks' offense last year, you'll enjoy the 2005 season. The Seahawks look to benefit from their 2005 schedule as long as they keep the offense together and healthy. Shaun Alexander faces plenty of teams that can’t stop the run. In addition to doubling up against the Rams and Cardinals, Seattle also gets to play the 49ers twice. What’s really exciting, during FF playoffs, the Seahawks get the 49ers and Titans. When you need it most, Alexander could come up huge. Compared to what they faced in 2004, Seattle has a much easier schedule this year.

* The Cardinals' offense might do better than some might think. The schedule makers certainly did their part. The Cards schedule is much easier in 2005 than it was last year (45 percent vs. 52 percent). In fact, the "best" defense the Cardinals face in their first four games is the Seahawks. In addition, Denny Green’s team manages to avoid all the top defensive units until Week 16, when they face the Eagles. If AZ players like Kurt Warner and rookie RB
J.J. Arrington come out of the gate strong, be sure to take action. AZ has the luxury of facing the Lions, Rams, 49ers, Titans and Texans in 2005. Any way you cut it, some good match-ups will be had.

* In part, as a result of going 15-1 last year, the Steelers finally play a schedule with above-average difficulty. Prior to 2005, the Steelers always seemed to enjoy a major scheduling advantage. To properly evaluate this situation, keep in mind the Steelers faced a relatively easy schedule in 2001, 2002, 2003 and 2004. Pittsburgh’s offense line must continue to play at a high level if the Steelers are to have offensive success again in 2005. The good news, late in the season the Steelers face the Browns and Lions. Both are questionable defensive teams so Bettis, Staley, Ward and Company could deliver when you need it most.

* Due to a disappointing performance in 2004, the Saints have a slightly easier schedule in 2005. Aaron Brooks and the Saints will battle foes with a 49 percent win rate. It’s time for Brooks to step up or he could be history in New Orleans. In Week 16, with many FF Super Bowls hanging in the balance, Brooks, McAllister and Joe Horn face their easiest defensive foe all year, the Lions.

* In a case of the rich getting richer, things look very promising for Colts offense from Weeks 3 to 7. Over that five-week stretch Peyton Manning, Reggie Wayne, Marvin Harrison and Edge James will work their magic against the Browns, Titans, 49ers, Rams and Texans before a bye in Week 8. It doesn’t get much easier than that, and it hardly seems fair.

* The Rams should have no excuses. They have a much easier schedule in 2005. In fact, they have the second most favorable shift in schedule difficulty in the entire league. In addition, Mike Martz’s unit plays the easiest schedule in the NFL. Bulger, Holt, Jackson and Bruce open the season against the 49ers, Cardinals, Titans and Giants. If you want your Fantasy team to get off to a good start, load up on the Rams.

* Despite a winning season in 2004, the Eagles (47 percent to 45 percent), Packers (51 percent to 50 percent) and Vikings (50 percent to 48 percent) all appear to have easier schedules in 2005. And, we’ll find out early just how good the Vikings are without Randy Moss. In Week 1 Culpepper takes on the always-rugged Bucs defense.

* The Packers should be able to pile on Fantasy points the first two weeks facing the Lions and Browns. In addition, a few weeks later they get the porous Saints defense. If you own Brett Favre, Ahman Green or Javon Walker and they’re really kicking it after Week 5, consider trading them and make sure you get plenty in return. You might be able to pull a classic sell-high move and dump the Packers' trio right before their stock drops. Over the next 12 weeks, they’ll face much better defenses, including the Ravens in critical Week 15.

*
On the flip side, look at those poor Bengals. During a six game period, Carson Palmer and Rudi Johnson face the Ravens twice and the Steelers twice. And, overall the Bengals' schedule is more difficult in 2005. About the only good news here is during FF playoff time -- the Bengals face the Browns and Lions, two below-average defensive teams. On paper, plan for the Bengals' offense to start out decent, fade during mid season and bounce back again late in the year.

* The Cleveland Browns have a legitimate gripe about their luck! If losing Kellen Winslow to injury in 2004 and 2005 wasn’t bad enough, the Browns' 2005 schedule actually gets significantly more difficult. In 2005, the Browns will be battling teams with a combined 53 percent win percentage. In 2004, before the season started, Cleveland’s opponents tallied a 49 percent win rate. And, against that level of competition, the Browns only managed to go 4-12. It figures to be a long year for QB Trent Dilfer, rookie WR Braylon Edwards and RB Lee Suggs.

* Other teams facing harder schedules in 2005 (relative to 2004) include the Chiefs, Broncos and Chargers. In fact, despite a poor showing last year, KC faces its most difficult schedule in several years, playing the Pats, Bills, Jets and Eagles this season.


Against the Run / Against the Pass
Examining the 2005 Schedule using an opponent's record from the prior year gives you a reasonable idea of schedule difficulty. Sure, its far from perfect, still it offers you a "vaguely right" approach.

Ideally, for Fantasy Football purposes, we'd like to objectively segment defensive team pass and rush performance. Then, everything else being equal, forecast passing and rushing using last year's data. The problem is, in going from last year to this year, everything else isn't equal.

If you segment last year’s defensive pass and defensive rush performance and follow it blindly, you face the very real risk of being "precisely wrong." All that being said, year-to-year pass/rush data does offer a modest level of predictive accuracy. Given that, below are a few observations to consider.

* Last season in this space, I identified the Colts as the team having the easiest pass defense schedule. We said, “Peyton Manning owners could really be loving life if this data holds up.” Well, Peyton Manning took full advantage and broke many of Dan Marino’s passing records. This season, the Jacksonville Jaguars have the distinction of facing the easiest pass defense schedule. Byron Leftwich owners, are you listening?

* Presumably it’s Tatum Bell, but regardless of who it is, the RB that gets the bulk of carries in Denver this year could once again turn out to be special. The Broncos have one of the easiest schedules when it comes to opposing run defense. 

* After Pittsburgh, Atlanta arguably had the second best rushing attack in the NFL last year. In 2005, the rich could get richer. According to last year's data, Michael Vick and the Falcons face a very soft run defense schedule.

* The Carolina Panthers get a break based on their schedule. Assuming they can get someone healthy to carry the rock, Carolina should enjoy some success rushing in 2005. Out of 32 NFL teams, Carolina has the fourth easiest run defense schedule.

* We all know the Ravens love to run the ball. But, on paper, Jamal Lewis faces the eighth most difficult run defense schedule in 2005. Weeks 8 to 11 look particularly hard.

* Using last year's data and this year's schedule, the Bengals, Dolphins, Browns, Colts and Giants may have the biggest challenge running. While prior year rush defense offers some forecasting validity, obviously don't count out Edge James. However, Rudi Johnson, Lee Suggs and rookie RB Ronnie Brown could be in for some extra hard sledding in 2005. The Browns play the hardest schedule against the run; the Bengals face the second most difficult.

* Last year's data suggests the Jags, Bears, Titans, Vikings and Broncos have an easy 2005 schedule when it comes to passing. Not far behind, Peyton Manning and the Colts are next on the list. We know the Colts will be passing plenty. However, the Bears have implemented a new offensive scheme which is run oriented so don't be shocked if Chicago's passing offense doesn’t do much despite their schedule.

* Jake Plummer could once again make for an excellent late round value pick. Don’t forget, last year, in many Fantasy leagues Plummer actually outscored Vick, Brady, Hasselbeck and Aaron Brooks. Plus, Denver plays a soft passing defense schedule in 2005. 

* Carson Palmer isn't going to be catching any breaks this season due to an easy schedule. Using 2004 stats, the Bengals, by far, will be facing the best cumulative pass defense this year. Likewise, Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers will also have their work cut out for them moving the ball in the air.

* The Tampa Bay Bucs should come up big running the ball in 2005. Coach Gruden’s squad plays the easiest schedule in the entire NFL when it comes to opposing run defense. Add to that Tampa drafted one of the most exciting college RBs to come out in the past five years, and it figures the Bucs will be gaining big yards on the ground. The punch line? Keep you eye on Carnell “Cadillac” Williams. As a pro prospect, Williams fairly easily outranked Steven Jackson, Kevin Jones, Clinton Portis, William Green and Larry Johnson when they were drafted.

* Deuce McAllister managers should be happy about the Saints schedule. New Orleans plays the third easiest schedule against the run in 2005. The fact the Saints also drafted super stud OT
Jammal Brown certainly doesn’t hurt McAllister’s stock. In my book, Brown looks like an excellent NFL prospect and should be able to create some big lanes for Deuce.


Table II– Using 2004 Data to Estimate 2005 Pass/Run Schedule Difficulty

Against the Pass 
(Ranked Easiest to Hardest)

Rank

Team

Avg. Ranked Pass Def. Opponent

1

JAX

22.1

2

CHI

22.0

3

TEN

21.1

4

MIN

20.9

5

DEN

20.8

6

IND

20.8

7

DET

20.6

8

HOU

20.5

9

GB

19.9

10

SD

18.5

11

ATL

17.8

12

CAR

17.8

13

NO

17.6

14

TB

17.1

15

KC

16.8

16

OAK

16.8

17

WAS

16.6

18

ARI

16.5

19

PHI

16.1

20

SEA

15.9

21

STL

15.2

22

DAL

14.6

23

NYG

14.1

24

SF

13.4

25

NE

12.9

26

BAL

12.6

27

BUF

12.5

28

NYJ

12.2

29

MIA

12.2

30

CLE

11.8

31

PIT

11.6

32

CIN

8.9

 

Against the Run 
(Ranked Easiest to Hardest)

Rank

Team

Avg. Ranked
Run Def. Opponent

1

TB

21.7

2

ATL

21.3

3

NO

20.6

4

CAR

20.4

5

ARI

20.1

6

SD

19.6

7

DEN

19.5

8

STL

19.5

9

SEA

19.3

10

SF

17.5

11

HOU

17.0

12

BUF

16.8

13

NE

16.7

14

WAS

16.4

15

KC

16.3

16

DAL

15.6

17

GB

15.4

18

DET

15.2

19

PIT

15.2

20

PHI

15.1

21

MIN

15.0

22

NYJ

15.0

23

CHI

14.9

24

OAK

14.9

25

BAL

14.8

26

JAX

14.6

27

TEN

14.6

28

MIA

14.1

29

NYG

13.9

30

IND

13.8

31

CIN

13.4

32

CLE

9.9


Next, I’ll provide you with some very specific forecast projection data.

Tables IIb thru IIg were o
btained by averaging a team’s offense with their opponent’s defense. By using this method, we’ve crafted a highly detailed look ahead for 2005. It provides one with a reasonable assessment of schedule difficulty. Leveraging prior year data yields a sensible level of predictive accuracy, but it’s certainly far from perfect. This data is best used as a guidepost, not an absolute. Each data cell contains a projection and the team’s opponent. We color-code the areas of opportunity in green and flag the more difficult areas in red.

Table IIb: Rushing Yards Look Ahead

 

TEAM

W1

W2

W3

W4

W5

W6

W7

W8

W9

W10

W11

W12

W13

W14

W15

W16

W17

ARI

120
NYG

121
STL

116
SEA

115
SF

112
CAR

BYE

112
TEN

107
DAL

116
SEA

111
DET

121
STL

108
JAX

115
SF

93
WAS

110
HOU

112
PHI

116
IND

ATL

143
PHI

147
SEA

134
BUF

146
MIN

133
NE

154
NO

133
NYJ

BYE

156
MIA

142
GB

145
TB

143
DET

143
CAR

154
NO

148
CHI

145
TB

143
CAR

BAL

129
IND

125
TEN

BYE

114
NYJ

124
DET

137
CLE

129
CHI

106
PIT

130
CIN

121
JAX

106
PIT

130
CIN

123
HOU

112
DEN

124
GB

128
MIN

137
CLE

BUF

117
HOU

121
TB

112
ATL

130
NO

131
MIA

108
NYJ

122
OAK

109
NE

BYE

117
KC

101
SD

119
CAR

131
MIA

109
NE

106
DEN

124
CIN

108
NYJ

CAR

120
NO

99
NE

122
MIA

108
GB

115
ARI

109
DET

BYE

112
MIN

111
TB

99
NYJ

114
CHI

100
BUF

102
ATL

111
TB

120
NO

105
DAL

102
ATL

CHI

92
WAS

110
DET

115
CIN

BYE

122
CLE

113
MIN

103
BAL

110
DET

121
NO

113
SF

110
CAR

112
TB

109
GB

91
PIT

103
ATL

109
GB

113
MIN

CIN

129
CLE

120
MIN

122
CHI

115
HOU

113
JAX

118
TEN

98
PIT

116
GB

110
BAL

BYE

121
IND

110
BAL

98
PIT

129
CLE

117
DET

108
BUF

115
KC

CLE

117
CIN

111
GB

116
IND

BYE

116
CHI

105
BAL

111
DET

110
HOU

112
TEN

93
PIT

124
MIA

115
MIN

108
JAX

117
CIN

115
OAK

93
PIT

105
BAL

DAL

96
SD

96
WAS

117
SF

118
OAK

114
PHI

122
NYG

118
SEA

120
ARI

BYE

114
PHI

114
DET

102
DEN

122
NYG

112
KC

96
WAS

114
CAR

123
STL

DEN

146
MIA

115
SD

131
KC

129
JAX

115
WAS

123
NE

141
NYG

133
PHI

BYE

137
OAK

123
NYJ

129
DAL

131
KC

126
BAL

124
BUF

137
OAK

115
SD

DET

114
GB

120
CHI

BYE

117
TB

108
BAL

115
CAR

127
CLE

120
CHI

118
MIN

121
ARI

111
DAL

108
ATL

118
MIN

114
GB

120
CIN

126
NO

96
PIT

GB

119
DET

131
CLE

121
TB

119
CAR

130
NO

BYE

122
MIN

124
CIN

100
PIT

112
ATL

122
MIN

119
PHI

124
CHI

119
DET

112
BAL

124
CHI

123
SEA

HOU

109
BUF

99
PIT

BYE

123
CIN

119
TEN

122
SEA

122
IND

130
CLE

114
JAX

122
IND

116
KC

127
STL

111
BAL

119
TEN

124
ARI

114
JAX

121
SF

IND

111
BAL

114
JAX

130
CLE

118
TEN

121
SF

127
STL

116
HOU

BYE

108
NE

116
HOU

123
CIN

99
PIT

118
TEN

114
JAX

100
SD

122
SEA

124
ARI

JAX

122
SEA

122
IND

107
NYJ

105
DEN

123
CIN

99
PIT

BYE

127
STL

116
HOU

111
BAL

118
TEN

124
ARI

130
CLE

122
IND

121
SF

116
HOU

118
TEN

KC

121
NYJ

135
OAK

119
DEN

131
PHI

BYE

113
WAS

144
MIA

113
SD

135
OAK

122
BUF

129
HOU

121
NE

119
DEN

127
DAL

139
NYG

113
SD

136
CIN

MIA

89
DEN

91
NYJ

102
CAR

BYE

93
BUF

104
TB

100
KC

113
NO

95
ATL

92
NE

114
CLE

105
OAK

93
BUF

84
SD

91
NYJ

102
TEN

92
NE

MIN

119
TB

122
CIN

128
NO

110
ATL

BYE

121
CHI

116
GB

117
CAR

116
DET

125
NYG

116
GB

129
CLE

116
DET

126
STL

98
PIT

110
BAL

121
CHI

NE

130
OAK

126
CAR

107
PIT

108
SD

119
ATL

114
DEN

BYE

117
BUF

130
IND

139
MIA

137
NO

124
KC

116
NYJ

117
BUF

128
TB

116
NYJ

139
MIA

NO

111
CAR

119
NYG

114
MIN

102
BUF

110
GB

104
ATL

120
STL

123
MIA

115
CHI

BYE

101
NE

100
NYJ

113
TB

104
ATL

111
CAR

110
DET

113
TB

NYG

125
ARI

130
NO

101
SD

128
STL

BYE

115
DAL

107
DEN

101
WAS

122
SF

122
MIN

119
PHI

123
SEA

115
DAL

119
PHI

117
KC

101
WAS

123
OAK

NYJ

132
KC

147
MIA

130
JAX

127
BAL

136
TB

125
BUF

127
ATL

BYE

116
SD

134
CAR

122
DEN

145
NO

124
NE

138
OAK

147
MIA

124
NE

125
BUF

OAK

90
NE

98
KC

100
PHI

96
DAL

BYE

82
SD

91
BUF

101
TEN

98
KC

88
DEN

82
WAS

113
MIA

82
SD

90
NYJ

112
CLE

88
DEN

108
NYG

PHI

104
ATL

114
SF

114
OAK

109
KC

106
DAL

BYE

93
SD

98
DEN

92
WAS

106
DAL

119
NYG

110
GB

115
SEA

119
NYG

120
STL

117
ARI

92
WAS

PIT

137
TEN

135
HOU

127
NE

BYE

119
SD

133
JAX

142
CIN

130
BAL

136
GB

149
CLE

130
BAL

141
IND

142
CIN

141
CHI

140
MIN

149
CLE

136
DET

SD

124
DAL

116
DEN

136
NYG

118
NE

109
PIT

132
OAK

128
PHI

126
KC

118
NYJ

BYE

119
BUF

110
WAS

132
OAK

141
MIA

132
IND

126
KC

116
DEN

SEA

121
JAX

118
ATL

131
ARI

107
WAS

134
STL

123
HOU

121
DAL

BYE

131
ARI

134
STL

128
SF

133
NYG

125
PHI

128
SF

126
TEN

129
IND

124
GB

SF

114
STL

105
PHI

101
DAL

111
ARI

109
IND

BYE

87
WAS

107
TB

113
NYG

110
CHI

109
SEA

106
TEN

111
ARI

109
SEA

101
JAX

114
STL

103
HOU

STL

114
SF

117
ARI

111
TEN

119
NYG

115
SEA

115
IND

122
NO

107
JAX

BYE

115
SEA

117
ARI

109
HOU

92
WAS

114
MIN

111
PHI

114
SF

106
DAL

TB

109
MIN

97
BUF

105
GB

106
DET

96
NYJ

119
MIA

BYE

109
SF

106
CAR

88
WAS

99
ATL

111
CHI

117
NO

106
CAR

96
NE

99
ATL

117
NO

TEN

99
PIT

111
BAL

127
STL

122
IND

116
HOU

123
CIN

124
ARI

122
OAK

130
CLE

BYE

114
JAX

121
SF

122
IND

116
HOU

122
SEA

131
MIA

114
JAX

WAS

119
CHI

110
DAL

BYE

119
SEA

102
DEN

113
KC

118
SF

123
NYG

115
PHI

117
TB

118
OAK

97
SD

124
STL

121
ARI

110
DAL

123
NYG

115
PHI

 


Table IIc: FF Rushing Points based on 1pt per 10yds and 6pts per TD

 

TEAM

W1

W2

W3

W4

W5

W6

W7

W8

W9

W10

W11

W12

W13

W14

W15

W16

W17

ARI

17.2
NYG

17.3
STL

17.6
SEA

18.4
SF

17.5
CAR

BYE

17.4
TEN

16.1
DAL

17.6
SEA

15.8
DET

17.3
STL

14.9
JAX

18.4
SF

13.4
WAS

14.5
HOU

16.4
PHI

16.6
IND

ATL

20.5
PHI

21.6
SEA

18.3
BUF

21.2
MIN

18.7
NE

22.1
NO

18.5
NYJ

BYE

21.5
MIA

20.2
GB

19.8
TB

19.9
DET

21.6
CAR

22.1
NO

20.2
CHI

19.8
TB

21.6
CAR

BAL

17.2
IND

17.9
TEN

BYE

15.0
NYJ

16.3
DET

19.8
CLE

16.6
CHI

14.1
PIT

17.1
CIN

15.4
JAX

14.1
PIT

17.1
CIN

15.1
HOU

16.3
DEN

16.7
GB

17.6
MIN

19.8
CLE

BUF

15.2
HOU

16.4
TB

17.7
ATL

18.8
NO

18.2
MIA

15.1
NYJ

19.0
OAK

15.3
NE

BYE

17.8
KC

15.7
SD

18.2
CAR

18.2
MIA

15.3
NE

16.4
DEN

17.2
CIN

15.1
NYJ

CAR

16.9
NO

13.5
NE

16.3
MIA

14.9
GB

15.6
ARI

14.6
DET

BYE

15.9
MIN

14.5
TB

13.2
NYJ

14.9
CHI

13.0
BUF

15.8
ATL

14.5
TB

16.9
NO

14.9
DAL

15.8
ATL

CHI

12.3
WAS

14.7
DET

15.4
CIN

BYE

18.2
CLE

16.0
MIN

13.9
BAL

14.7
DET

17.0
NO

17.3
SF

16.4
CAR

14.6
TB

15.0
GB

12.5
PIT

15.9
ATL

15.0
GB

16.0
MIN

CIN

19.6
CLE

17.4
MIN

16.5
CHI

14.9
HOU

15.2
JAX

17.8
TEN

13.9
PIT

16.5
GB

15.3
BAL

BYE

17.0
IND

15.3
BAL

13.9
PIT

19.6
CLE

16.1
DET

14.6
BUF

17.5
KC

CLE

14.8
CIN

14.4
GB

14.9
IND

BYE

14.4
CHI

13.3
BAL

14.1
DET

12.8
HOU

15.7
TEN

11.9
PIT

15.8
MIA

15.4
MIN

13.2
JAX

14.8
CIN

16.6
OAK

11.9
PIT

13.3
BAL

DAL

15.0
SD

13.5
WAS

18.4
SF

18.3
OAK

16.5
PHI

17.3
NYG

17.6
SEA

16.9
ARI

BYE

16.5
PHI

15.9
DET

15.8
DEN

17.3
NYG

17.2
KC

13.5
WAS

17.6
CAR

17.4
STL

DEN

19.2
MIA

16.8
SD

18.9
KC

16.7
JAX

15.2
WAS

16.4
NE

19.0
NYG

18.2
PHI

BYE

20.0
OAK

16.2
NYJ

17.9
DAL

18.9
KC

16.7
BAL

16.0
BUF

20.0
OAK

16.8
SD

DET

15.0
GB

15.0
CHI

BYE

14.5
TB

13.8
BAL

16.4
CAR

18.1
CLE

15.0
CHI

15.9
MIN

15.7
ARI

15.0
DAL

15.9
ATL

15.9
MIN

15.0
GB

15.4
CIN

16.9
NO

12.4
PIT

GB

15.4
DET

18.9
CLE

15.3
TB

17.1
CAR

17.7
NO

BYE

16.7
MIN

16.1
CIN

13.2
PIT

16.6
ATL

16.7
MIN

16.0
PHI

15.7
CHI

15.4
DET

14.6
BAL

15.7
CHI

17.2
SEA

HOU

15.0
BUF

14.4
PIT

BYE

17.4
CIN

18.2
TEN

18.4
SEA

17.5
IND

20.1
CLE

15.7
JAX

17.5
IND

18.0
KC

18.1
STL

15.8
BAL

18.2
TEN

17.7
ARI

15.7
JAX

19.2
SF

IND

14.6
BAL

14.5
JAX

19.0
CLE

17.1
TEN

18.1
SF

17.0
STL

14.2
HOU

BYE

14.3
NE

14.2
HOU

16.2
CIN

13.2
PIT

17.1
TEN

14.5
JAX

14.6
SD

17.2
SEA

16.5
ARI

JAX

17.0
SEA

16.1
IND

13.9
NYJ

15.2
DEN

16.0
CIN

13.0
PIT

BYE

16.8
STL

14.0
HOU

14.4
BAL

16.9
TEN

16.3
ARI

18.8
CLE

16.1
IND

17.9
SF

14.0
HOU

16.9
TEN

KC

19.4
NYJ

23.2
OAK

20.7
DEN

21.4
PHI

BYE

18.4
WAS

22.4
MIA

19.9
SD

23.2
OAK

19.1
BUF

19.5
HOU

19.6
NE

20.7
DEN

21.1
DAL

22.1
NYG

19.9
SD

21.5
CIN

MIA

13.8
DEN

12.5
NYJ

15.6
CAR

BYE

12.3
BUF

13.7
TB

15.2
KC

16.1
NO

15.1
ATL

12.7
NE

17.4
CLE

16.3
OAK

12.3
BUF

13.0
SD

12.5
NYJ

15.4
TEN

12.7
NE

MIN

14.9
TB

15.7
CIN

17.3
NO

16.2
ATL

BYE

15.3
CHI

15.3
GB

16.7
CAR

15.0
DET

16.4
NYG

15.3
GB

18.5
CLE

15.0
DET

16.5
STL

12.8
PIT

14.1
BAL

15.3
CHI

NE

19.7
OAK

19.0
CAR

15.0
PIT

16.4
SD

18.5
ATL

17.2
DEN

BYE

15.6
BUF

18.1
IND

18.9
MIA

19.5
NO

18.6
KC

15.9
NYJ

15.6
BUF

17.1
TB

15.9
NYJ

18.9
MIA

NO

17.4
CAR

17.1
NYG

17.0
MIN

14.1
BUF

16.0
GB

16.9
ATL

17.2
STL

17.4
MIA

16.0
CHI

BYE

14.6
NE

14.3
NYJ

15.6
TB

16.9
ATL

17.4
CAR

15.7
DET

15.6
TB

NYG

18.1
ARI

19.4
NO

16.3
SD

18.6
STL

BYE

17.4
DAL

17.0
DEN

14.7
WAS

19.7
SF

18.4
MIN

17.7
PHI

18.9
SEA

17.4
DAL

17.7
PHI

18.4
KC

14.7
WAS

19.6
OAK

NYJ

19.4
KC

19.7
MIA

17.1
JAX

17.2
BAL

17.9
TB

16.4
BUF

19.3
ATL

BYE

17.2
SD

19.8
CAR

18.0
DEN

20.3
NO

16.9
NE

20.5
OAK

19.7
MIA

16.9
NE

16.4
BUF

OAK

12.6
NE

15.1
KC

14.3
PHI

14.1
DAL

BYE

12.9
SD

12.1
BUF

15.3
TEN

15.1
KC

13.6
DEN

11.3
WAS

15.4
MIA

12.9
SD

12.3
NYJ

17.2
CLE

13.6
DEN

15.1
NYG

PHI

16.0
ATL

17.4
SF

17.2
OAK

16.1
KC

15.1
DAL

BYE

13.9
SD

14.7
DEN

12.4
WAS

15.1
DAL

16.2
NYG

15.1
GB

16.5
SEA

16.2
NYG

16.3
STL

15.8
ARI

12.4
WAS

PIT

20.1
TEN

17.2
HOU

17.3
NE

BYE

17.7
SD

17.6
JAX

19.2
CIN

17.6
BAL

18.8
GB

22.0
CLE

17.6
BAL

19.3
IND

19.2
CIN

18.8
CHI

19.8
MIN

22.0
CLE

18.5
DET

SD

19.5
DAL

19.1
DEN

20.5
NYG

18.0
NE

16.9
PIT

21.6
OAK

19.7
PHI

20.5
KC

17.8
NYJ

BYE

17.5
BUF

16.8
WAS

21.6
OAK

20.8
MIA

20.0
IND

20.5
KC

19.1
DEN

SEA

16.6
JAX

18.7
ATL

18.5
ARI

15.2
WAS

19.0
STL

16.2
HOU

17.9
DAL

BYE

18.5
ARI

19.0
STL

20.1
SF

18.9
NYG

18.1
PHI

20.1
SF

19.1
TEN

18.3
IND

17.8
GB

SF

15.7
STL

14.8
PHI

14.6
DAL

15.2
ARI

15.0
IND

BYE

11.8
WAS

14.1
TB

15.6
NYG

14.5
CHI

16.0
SEA

15.8
TEN

15.2
ARI

16.0
SEA

13.3
JAX

15.7
STL

12.9
HOU

STL

17.5
SF

16.0
ARI

16.5
TEN

16.4
NYG

16.7
SEA

15.8
IND

17.2
NO

14.0
JAX

BYE

16.7
SEA

16.0
ARI

13.7
HOU

12.6
WAS

16.2
MIN

15.6
PHI

17.5
SF

15.3
DAL

TB

15.4
MIN

12.5
BUF

14.4
GB

14.1
DET

12.7
NYJ

15.8
MIA

BYE

16.7
SF

15.8
CAR

11.8
WAS

15.3
ATL

14.4
CHI

16.4
NO

15.8
CAR

13.0
NE

15.3
ATL

16.4
NO

TEN

13.7
PIT

15.0
BAL

17.4
STL

16.7
IND

14.6
HOU

16.6
CIN

16.9
ARI

18.3
OAK

19.4
CLE

BYE

15.0
JAX

18.5
SF

16.7
IND

14.6
HOU

17.6
SEA

17.6
MIA

15.0
JAX

WAS

14.7
CHI

14.8
DAL

BYE

16.2
SEA

14.3
DEN

15.8
KC

17.0
SF

15.8
NYG

15.0
PHI

14.3
TB

16.9
OAK

13.6
SD

15.9
STL

15.4
ARI

14.8
DAL

15.8
NYG

15.0
PHI

 


Table IId: Rushing TDs Look Ahead

 

 

TEAM

W1

W2

W3

W4

W5

W6

W7

W8

W9

W10

W11

W12

W13

W14

W15

W16

W17

 

ARI

0.9
NYG

0.9
STL

1.0
SEA

1.2
SF

1.1
CAR

BYE

1.0
TEN

0.9
DAL

1.0
SEA

0.8
DET

0.9
STL

0.7
JAX

1.2
SF

0.7
WAS

0.6
HOU

0.9
PHI

0.8
IND

 

ATL

1.0
PHI

1.2
SEA

0.8
BUF

1.1
MIN

0.9
NE

1.1
NO

0.9
NYJ

BYE

1.0
MIA

1.0
GB

0.9
TB

0.9
DET

1.2
CAR

1.1
NO

0.9
CHI

0.9
TB

1.2
CAR

 

BAL

0.7
IND

0.9
TEN

BYE

0.6
NYJ

0.7
DET

1.0
CLE

0.6
CHI

0.6
PIT

0.7
CIN

0.6
JAX

0.6
PIT

0.7
CIN

0.5
HOU

0.8
DEN

0.7
GB

0.8
MIN

1.0
CLE

 

BUF

0.6
HOU

0.7
TB

1.1
ATL

1.0
NO

0.8
MIA

0.7
NYJ

1.1
OAK

0.8
NE

BYE

1.0
KC

0.9
SD

1.1
CAR

0.8
MIA

0.8
NE

1.0
DEN

0.8
CIN

0.7
NYJ

 

CAR

0.8
NO

0.6
NE

0.7
MIA

0.7
GB

0.7
ARI

0.6
DET

BYE

0.8
MIN

0.6
TB

0.6
NYJ

0.6
CHI

0.5
BUF

0.9
ATL

0.6
TB

0.8
NO

0.8
DAL

0.9
ATL

 

CHI

0.5
WAS

0.6
DET

0.7
CIN

BYE

1.0
CLE

0.8
MIN

0.6
BAL

0.6
DET

0.8
NO

1.0
SF

0.9
CAR

0.6
TB

0.7
GB

0.6
PIT

0.9
ATL

0.7
GB

0.8
MIN

 

CIN

1.1
CLE

0.9
MIN

0.7
CHI

0.6
HOU

0.7
JAX

1.0
TEN

0.7
PIT

0.8
GB

0.7
BAL

BYE

0.8
IND

0.7
BAL

0.7
PIT

1.1
CLE

0.8
DET

0.6
BUF

1.0
KC

 

CLE

0.5
CIN

0.6
GB

0.6
IND

BYE

0.5
CHI

0.5
BAL

0.5
DET

0.3
HOU

0.8
TEN

0.4
PIT

0.6
MIA

0.7
MIN

0.4
JAX

0.5
CIN

0.8
OAK

0.4
PIT

0.5
BAL

 

DAL

0.9
SD

0.7
WAS

1.1
SF

1.1
OAK

0.8
PHI

0.8
NYG

1.0
SEA

0.8
ARI

BYE

0.8
PHI

0.8
DET

0.9
DEN

0.8
NYG

1.0
KC

0.7
WAS

1.0
CAR

0.8
STL

 

DEN

0.8
MIA

0.9
SD

1.0
KC

0.6
JAX

0.6
WAS

0.7
NE

0.8
NYG

0.8
PHI

BYE

1.1
OAK

0.7
NYJ

0.8
DAL

1.0
KC

0.7
BAL

0.6
BUF

1.1
OAK

0.9
SD

 

DET

0.6
GB

0.5
CHI

BYE

0.5
TB

0.5
BAL

0.8
CAR

0.9
CLE

0.5
CHI

0.7
MIN

0.6
ARI

0.7
DAL

0.8
ATL

0.7
MIN

0.6
GB

0.6
CIN

0.7
NO

0.5
PIT

 

GB

0.6
DET

1.0
CLE

0.5
TB

0.9
CAR

0.8
NO

BYE

0.8
MIN

0.6
CIN

0.5
PIT

0.9
ATL

0.8
MIN

0.7
PHI

0.6
CHI

0.6
DET

0.6
BAL

0.6
CHI

0.8
SEA

 

HOU

0.7
BUF

0.8
PIT

BYE

0.8
CIN

1.1
TEN

1.0
SEA

0.9
IND

1.2
CLE

0.7
JAX

0.9
IND

1.1
KC

0.9
STL

0.8
BAL

1.1
TEN

0.9
ARI

0.7
JAX

1.2
SF

 

IND

0.6
BAL

0.5
JAX

1.0
CLE

0.9
TEN

1.0
SF

0.7
STL

0.4
HOU

BYE

0.6
NE

0.4
HOU

0.7
CIN

0.6
PIT

0.9
TEN

0.5
JAX

0.8
SD

0.8
SEA

0.7
ARI

 

JAX

0.8
SEA

0.7
IND

0.5
NYJ

0.8
DEN

0.6
CIN

0.5
PIT

BYE

0.7
STL

0.4
HOU

0.6
BAL

0.8
TEN

0.7
ARI

1.0
CLE

0.7
IND

1.0
SF

0.4
HOU

0.8
TEN

 

KC

1.2
NYJ

1.6
OAK

1.5
DEN

1.4
PHI

BYE

1.2
WAS

1.3
MIA

1.4
SD

1.6
OAK

1.2
BUF

1.1
HOU

1.3
NE

1.5
DEN

1.4
DAL

1.4
NYG

1.4
SD

1.3
CIN

 

MIA

0.8
DEN

0.6
NYJ

0.9
CAR

BYE

0.5
BUF

0.6
TB

0.9
KC

0.8
NO

0.9
ATL

0.6
NE

1.0
CLE

1.0
OAK

0.5
BUF

0.8
SD

0.6
NYJ

0.9
TEN

0.6
NE

 

MIN

0.5
TB

0.6
CIN

0.8
NO

0.9
ATL

BYE

0.5
CHI

0.6
GB

0.8
CAR

0.6
DET

0.7
NYG

0.6
GB

0.9
CLE

0.6
DET

0.7
STL

0.5
PIT

0.5
BAL

0.5
CHI

 

NE

1.1
OAK

1.1
CAR

0.7
PIT

0.9
SD

1.1
ATL

1.0
DEN

BYE

0.7
BUF

0.8
IND

0.8
MIA

1.0
NO

1.0
KC

0.7
NYJ

0.7
BUF

0.7
TB

0.7
NYJ

0.8
MIA

 

NO

1.1
CAR

0.9
NYG

0.9
MIN

0.7
BUF

0.8
GB

1.1
ATL

0.9
STL

0.8
MIA

0.8
CHI

BYE

0.8
NE

0.7
NYJ

0.7
TB

1.1
ATL

1.1
CAR

0.8
DET

0.7
TB

 

NYG

0.9
ARI

1.1
NO

1.0
SD

1.0
STL

BYE

1.0
DAL

1.1
DEN

0.8
WAS

1.3
SF

1.0
MIN

1.0
PHI

1.1
SEA

1.0
DAL

1.0
PHI

1.1
KC

0.8
WAS

1.2
OAK

 

NYJ

1.0
KC

0.8
MIA

0.7
JAX

0.8
BAL

0.7
TB

0.7
BUF

1.1
ATL

BYE

0.9
SD

1.1
CAR

1.0
DEN

1.0
NO

0.8
NE

1.1
OAK

0.8
MIA

0.8
NE

0.7
BUF

 

OAK

0.6
NE

0.9
KC

0.7
PHI

0.8
DAL

BYE

0.8
SD

0.5
BUF

0.9
TEN

0.9
KC

0.8
DEN

0.5
WAS

0.7
MIA

0.8
SD

0.6
NYJ

1.0
CLE

0.8
DEN

0.7
NYG

 

PHI

0.9
ATL

1.0
SF

1.0
OAK

0.9
KC

0.8
DAL

BYE

0.8
SD

0.8
DEN

0.5
WAS

0.8
DAL

0.7
NYG

0.7
GB

0.8
SEA

0.7
NYG

0.7
STL

0.7
ARI

0.5
WAS

 

PIT

1.1
TEN

0.6
HOU

0.8
NE

BYE

1.0
SD

0.7
JAX

0.8
CIN

0.8
BAL

0.9
GB

1.2
CLE

0.8
BAL

0.9
IND

0.8
CIN

0.8
CHI

1.0
MIN

1.2
CLE

0.8
DET

 

SD

1.2
DAL

1.3
DEN

1.2
NYG

1.0
NE

1.0
PIT

1.4
OAK

1.2
PHI

1.3
KC

1.0
NYJ

BYE

0.9
BUF

1.0
WAS

1.4
OAK

1.1
MIA

1.1
IND

1.3
KC

1.3
DEN

 

SEA

0.8
JAX

1.2
ATL

0.9
ARI

0.8
WAS

0.9
STL

0.7
HOU

1.0
DAL

BYE

0.9
ARI

0.9
STL

1.2
SF

0.9
NYG

0.9
PHI

1.2
SF

1.1
TEN

0.9
IND

0.9
GB

 

SF

0.7
STL

0.7
PHI

0.8
DAL

0.7
ARI

0.7
IND

BYE

0.5
WAS

0.6
TB

0.7
NYG

0.6
CHI

0.8
SEA

0.9
TEN

0.7
ARI

0.8
SEA

0.5
JAX

0.7
STL

0.4
HOU

 

STL

1.0
SF

0.7
ARI

0.9
TEN

0.8
NYG

0.9
SEA

0.7
IND

0.8
NO

0.6
JAX

BYE

0.9
SEA

0.7
ARI

0.5
HOU

0.6
WAS

0.8
MIN

0.8
PHI

1.0
SF

0.8
DAL

 

TB

0.8
MIN

0.5
BUF

0.7
GB

0.6
DET

0.5
NYJ

0.7
MIA

BYE

1.0
SF

0.9
CAR

0.5
WAS

0.9
ATL

0.6
CHI

0.8
NO

0.9
CAR

0.6
NE

0.9
ATL

0.8
NO

 

TEN

0.6
PIT

0.7
BAL

0.8
STL

0.8
IND

0.5
HOU

0.7
CIN

0.8
ARI

1.0
OAK

1.1
CLE

BYE

0.6
JAX

1.1
SF

0.8
IND

0.5
HOU

0.9
SEA

0.8
MIA

0.6
JAX

 

WAS

0.5
CHI

0.6
DAL

BYE

0.7
SEA

0.7
DEN

0.8
KC

0.9
SF

0.6
NYG

0.6
PHI

0.4
TB

0.8
OAK

0.7
SD

0.6
STL

0.6
ARI

0.6
DAL

0.6
NYG

0.6
PHI


Table IIe: Passing Yards Look Ahead

 

TEAM

W1

W2

W3

W4

W5

W6

W7

W8

W9

W10

W11

W12

W13

W14

W15

W16

W17

ARI

203
NYG

207
STL

219
SEA

215
SF

216
CAR

BYE

226
TEN

216
DAL

219
SEA

217
DET

207
STL

212
JAX

215
SF

201
WAS

218
HOU

209
PHI

232
IND

ATL

193
PHI

203
SEA

176
BUF

213
MIN

200
NE

212
NO

194
NYJ

BYE

172
MIA

207
GB

173
TB

201
DET

200
CAR

212
NO

194
CHI

173
TB

200
CAR

BAL

212
IND

206
TEN

BYE

190
NYJ

197
DET

177
CLE

190
CHI

176
PIT

191
CIN

192
JAX

176
PIT

191
CIN

198
HOU

180
DEN

203
GB

209
MIN

177
CLE

BUF

213
HOU

184
TB

215
ATL

223
NO

183
MIA

205
NYJ

223
OAK

211
NE

BYE

234
KC

226
SD

210
CAR

183
MIA

211
NE

195
DEN

206
CIN

205
NYJ

CAR

250
NO

238
NE

210
MIA

245
GB

224
ARI

238
DET

BYE

251
MIN

210
TB

232
NYJ

231
CHI

214
BUF

241
ATL

210
TB

250
NO

238
DAL

241
ATL

CHI

183
WAS

199
DET

194
CIN

BYE

179
CLE

212
MIN

188
BAL

199
DET

211
NO

198
SF

198
CAR

171
TB

206
GB

178
PIT

202
ATL

206
GB

212
MIN

CIN

207
CLE

239
MIN

220
CHI

228
HOU

222
JAX

236
TEN

206
PIT

233
GB

216
BAL

BYE

242
IND

216
BAL

206
PIT

207
CLE

227
DET

202
BUF

249
KC

CLE

207
CIN

219
GB

228
IND

BYE

206
CHI

202
BAL

213
DET

214
HOU

222
TEN

192
PIT

184
MIA

225
MIN

208
JAX

207
CIN

224
OAK

192
PIT

202
BAL

DAL

245
SD

214
WAS

229
SF

242
OAK

222
PHI

216
NYG

233
SEA

216
ARI

BYE

222
PHI

230
DET

214
DEN

216
NYG

253
KC

214
WAS

229
CAR

220
STL

DEN

216
MIA

259
SD

267
KC

240
JAX

228
WAS

244
NE

230
NYG

236
PHI

BYE

256
OAK

238
NYJ

244
DAL

267
KC

234
BAL

220
BUF

256
OAK

259
SD

DET

221
GB

207
CHI

BYE

186
TB

203
BAL

213
CAR

194
CLE

207
CHI

227
MIN

200
ARI

214
DAL

218
ATL

227
MIN

221
GB

209
CIN

226
NO

193
PIT

GB

259
DET

239
CLE

231
TB

258
CAR

270
NO

BYE

271
MIN

253
CIN

238
PIT

262
ATL

271
MIN

251
PHI

252
CHI

259
DET

248
BAL

252
CHI

261
SEA

HOU

203
BUF

207
PIT

BYE

222
CIN

237
TEN

230
SEA

243
IND

208
CLE

223
JAX

243
IND

250
KC

218
STL

217
BAL

237
TEN

213
ARI

223
JAX

226
SF

IND

254
BAL

260
JAX

244
CLE

274
TEN

263
SF

255
STL

266
HOU

BYE

264
NE

266
HOU

259
CIN

244
PIT

274
TEN

260
JAX

279
SD

267
SEA

250
ARI

JAX

223
SEA

236
IND

214
NYJ

204
DEN

215
CIN

199
PIT

BYE

210
STL

222
HOU

209
BAL

229
TEN

206
ARI

200
CLE

236
IND

219
SF

222
HOU

229
TEN

KC

255
NYJ

273
OAK

245
DEN

253
PHI

BYE

245
WAS

233
MIA

276
SD

273
OAK

237
BUF

263
HOU

261
NE

245
DEN

261
DAL

247
NYG

276
SD

256
CIN

MIA

206
DEN

216
NYJ

222
CAR

BYE

198
BUF

195
TB

245
KC

234
NO

226
ATL

222
NE

203
CLE

234
OAK

198
BUF

237
SD

216
NYJ

232
TEN

222
NE

MIN

237
TB

260
CIN

277
NO

269
ATL

BYE

258
CHI

272
GB

264
CAR

265
DET

251
NYG

272
GB

245
CLE

265
DET

255
STL

244
PIT

254
BAL

258
CHI

NE

245
OAK

233
CAR

213
PIT

248
SD

237
ATL

218
DEN

BYE

209
BUF

249
IND

205
MIA

245
NO

256
KC

228
NYJ

209
BUF

206
TB

228
NYJ

205
MIA

NO

235
CAR

222
NYG

248
MIN

211
BUF

242
GB

239
ATL

226
STL

207
MIA

229
CHI

BYE

235
NE

229
NYJ

208
TB

239
ATL

235
CAR

236
DET

208
TB

NYG

199
ARI

225
NO

228
SD

204
STL

BYE

213
DAL

197
DEN

197
WAS

212
SF

226
MIN

205
PHI

216
SEA

213
DAL

205
PHI

236
KC

197
WAS

225
OAK

NYJ

240
KC

189
MIA

213
JAX

207
BAL

190
TB

193
BUF

221
ATL

BYE

232
SD

217
CAR

201
DEN

229
NO

217
NE

229
OAK

189
MIA

217
NE

193
BUF

OAK

242
NE

265
KC

234
PHI

242
DAL

BYE

257
SD

218
BUF

251
TEN

265
KC

226
DEN

226
WAS

214
MIA

257
SD

236
NYJ

222
CLE

226
DEN

228
NYG

PHI

251
ATL

247
SF

260
OAK

271
KC

248
DAL

BYE

263
SD

232
DEN

232
WAS

248
DAL

234
NYG

255
GB

250
SEA

234
NYG

238
STL

234
ARI

232
WAS

PIT

219
TEN

211
HOU

209
NE

BYE

224
SD

205
JAX

204
CIN

199
BAL

216
GB

189
CLE

199
BAL

225
IND

204
CIN

203
CHI

222
MIN

189
CLE

210
DET

SD

226
DAL

210
DEN

212
NYG

226
NE

205
PIT

238
OAK

218
PHI

249
KC

220
NYJ

BYE

202
BUF

210
WAS

238
OAK

198
MIA

242
IND

249
KC

210
DEN

SEA

228
JAX

236
ATL

219
ARI

217
WAS

223
STL

234
HOU

233
DAL

BYE

219
ARI

223
STL

231
SF

219
NYG

225
PHI

231
SF

242
TEN

249
IND

240
GB

SF

215
STL

217
PHI

224
DAL

210
ARI

240
IND

BYE

209
WAS

197
TB

210
NYG

218
CHI

227
SEA

234
TEN

210
ARI

227
SEA

220
JAX

215
STL

226
HOU

STL

259
SF

246
ARI

270
TEN

247
NYG

263
SEA

276
IND

272
NO

256
JAX

BYE

263
SEA

246
ARI

262
HOU

245
WAS

273
MIN

253
PHI

259
SF

260
DAL

TB

247
MIN

210
BUF

241
GB

235
DET

228
NYJ

206
MIA

BYE

233
SF

234
CAR

219
WAS

238
ATL

228
CHI

246
NO

234
CAR

234
NE

238
ATL

246
NO

TEN

219
PIT

229
BAL

230
STL

255
IND

241
HOU

234
CIN

225
ARI

251
OAK

219
CLE

BYE

235
JAX

238
SF

255
IND

241
HOU

242
SEA

211
MIA

235
JAX

WAS

200
CHI

206
DAL

BYE

209
SEA

190
DEN

229
KC

205
SF

192
NYG

198
PHI

179
TB

218
OAK

221
SD

197
STL

192
ARI

206
DAL

192
NYG

198
PHI

 


Table IIf:
FF Passing Points based on 1pt per 25yds and 6pts per TD

 

TEAM

W1

W2

W3

W4

W5

W6

W7

W8

W9

W10

W11

W12

W13

W14

W15

W16

W17

ARI

16.0
NYG

15.4
STL

15.9
SEA

16.3
SF

14.6
CAR

BYE

17.1
TEN

17.1
DAL

15.9
SEA

16.7
DET

15.4
STL

14.5
JAX

16.3
SF

13.8
WAS

17.3
HOU

14.0
PHI

16.8
IND

ATL

13.5
PHI

15.4
SEA

13.6
BUF

17.0
MIN

14.2
NE

15.8
NO

14.5
NYJ

BYE

13.4
MIA

17.3
GB

13.7
TB

16.3
DET

14.2
CAR

15.8
NO

14.9
CHI

13.7
TB

14.2
CAR

BAL

15.8
IND

16.1
TEN

BYE

14.0
NYJ

15.7
DET

12.7
CLE

14.3
CHI

12.1
PIT

14.4
CIN

13.5
JAX

12.1
PIT

14.4
CIN

16.4
HOU

12.8
DEN

16.8
GB

16.4
MIN

12.7
CLE

BUF

18.4
HOU

15.2
TB

16.1
ATL

17.3
NO

15.0
MIA

16.1
NYJ

18.5
OAK

15.7
NE

BYE

19.3
KC

16.5
SD

15.7
CAR

15.0
MIA

15.7
NE

14.9
DEN

16.5
CIN

16.1
NYJ

CAR

19.9
NO

18.3
NE

17.6
MIA

21.4
GB

17.8
ARI

20.4
DET

BYE

21.1
MIN

17.8
TB

18.7
NYJ

19.0
CHI

17.7
BUF

18.7
ATL

17.8
TB

19.9
NO

20.8
DAL

18.7
ATL

CHI

12.2
WAS

15.1
DET

13.8
CIN

BYE

12.0
CLE

15.8
MIN

11.8
BAL

15.1
DET

14.6
NO

14.7
SF

13.0
CAR

12.5
TB

16.1
GB

11.4
PIT

13.3
ATL

16.1
GB

15.8
MIN

CIN

15.8
CLE

19.5
MIN

17.4
CHI

19.4
HOU

16.6
JAX

19.2
TEN

15.2
PIT

19.8
GB

15.6
BAL

BYE

18.9
IND

15.6
BAL

15.2
PIT

15.8
CLE

18.8
DET

16.1
BUF

20.3
KC

CLE

16.5
CIN

18.9
GB

17.9
IND

BYE

16.5
CHI

14.6
BAL

17.9
DET

18.5
HOU

18.3
TEN

14.2
PIT

15.1
MIA

18.6
MIN

15.6
JAX

16.5
CIN

18.5
OAK

14.2
PIT

14.6
BAL

DAL

16.9
SD

15.3
WAS

17.8
SF

18.9
OAK

15.5
PHI

17.5
NYG

17.4
SEA

15.6
ARI

BYE

15.5
PHI

18.2
DET

15.3
DEN

17.5
NYG

19.7
KC

15.3
WAS

16.1
CAR

16.9
STL

DEN

17.4
MIA

19.0
SD

21.7
KC

18.0
JAX

17.4
WAS

18.2
NE

19.5
NYG

17.5
PHI

BYE

20.9
OAK

18.5
NYJ

20.6
DAL

21.7
KC

17.0
BAL

17.6
BUF

20.9
OAK

19.0
SD

DET

18.6
GB

16.2
CHI

BYE

15.0
TB

14.3
BAL

15.5
CAR

14.5
CLE

16.2
CHI

18.3
MIN

14.9
ARI

17.9
DAL

15.8
ATL

18.3
MIN

18.6
GB

16.2
CIN

17.1
NO

13.9
PIT

GB

22.5
DET

19.5
CLE

19.9
TB

20.4
CAR

22.1
NO

BYE

23.2
MIN

21.2
CIN

18.9
PIT

20.8
ATL

23.2
MIN

19.8
PHI

21.1
CHI

22.5
DET

19.3
BAL

21.1
CHI

21.7
SEA

HOU

14.9
BUF

13.9
PIT

BYE

16.2
CIN

17.9
TEN

16.7
SEA

17.6
IND

14.5
CLE

15.3
JAX

17.6
IND

19.0
KC

16.2
STL

14.3
BAL

17.9
TEN

14.9
ARI

15.3
JAX

17.1
SF

IND

22.3
BAL

23.3
JAX

22.5
CLE

25.9
TEN

25.1
SF

24.2
STL

26.2
HOU

BYE

23.5
NE

26.2
HOU

24.2
CIN

21.9
PIT

25.9
TEN

23.3
JAX

24.3
SD

24.7
SEA

22.9
ARI

JAX

16.6
SEA

17.5
IND

15.7
NYJ

14.5
DEN

16.1
CIN

13.8
PIT

BYE

16.1
STL

18.0
HOU

14.2
BAL

17.8
TEN

14.8
ARI

14.4
CLE

17.5
IND

17.0
SF

18.0
HOU

17.8
TEN

KC

19.2
NYJ

21.6
OAK

18.1
DEN

18.2
PHI

BYE

18.1
WAS

18.1
MIA

19.7
SD

21.6
OAK

18.3
BUF

21.6
HOU

18.9
NE

18.1
DEN

21.3
DAL

20.2
NYG

19.7
SD

19.6
CIN

MIA

15.0
DEN

16.2
NYJ

15.8
CAR

BYE

15.2
BUF

15.3
TB

19.4
KC

17.4
NO

16.2
ATL

15.8
NE

14.9
CLE

18.6
OAK

15.2
BUF

16.6
SD

16.2
NYJ

18.3
TEN

15.8
NE

MIN

20.7
TB

22.0
CIN

22.9
NO

21.6
ATL

BYE

22.0
CHI

24.4
GB

21.3
CAR

23.4
DET

22.6
NYG

24.4
GB

20.3
CLE

23.4
DET

22.0
STL

19.7
PIT

20.1
BAL

22.0
CHI

NE

20.9
OAK

18.1
CAR

16.6
PIT

18.9
SD

18.5
ATL

17.3
DEN

BYE

17.6
BUF

20.3
IND

17.4
MIA

19.7
NO

21.7
KC

18.5
NYJ

17.6
BUF

17.6
TB

18.5
NYJ

17.4
MIA

NO

16.7
CAR

18.1
NYG

19.5
MIN

16.1
BUF

19.8
GB

17.1
ATL

17.5
STL

16.0
MIA

17.4
CHI

BYE

16.7
NE

17.1
NYJ

16.2
TB

17.1
ATL

16.7
CAR

18.8
DET

16.2
TB

NYG

13.6
ARI

15.7
NO

14.9
SD

14.9
STL

BYE

16.6
DAL

13.3
DEN

13.3
WAS

15.8
SF

16.9
MIN

13.5
PHI

15.4
SEA

16.6
DAL

13.5
PHI

17.7
KC

13.3
WAS

16.9
OAK

NYJ

19.2
KC

14.9
MIA

15.5
JAX

14.5
BAL

15.1
TB

15.0
BUF

16.0
ATL

BYE

16.4
SD

15.6
CAR

14.8
DEN

17.2
NO

15.6
NE

18.4
OAK

14.9
MIA

15.6
NE

15.0
BUF

OAK

17.5
NE

21.1
KC

16.9
PHI

20.0
DAL

BYE

18.3
SD

17.0
BUF

20.0
TEN

21.1
KC

16.7
DEN

16.7
WAS

16.8
MIA

18.3
SD

17.9
NYJ

16.6
CLE

16.7
DEN

18.9
NYG

PHI

19.6
ATL

20.9
SF

22.0
OAK

22.8
KC

21.7
DAL

BYE

20.1
SD

18.5
DEN

18.5
WAS

21.7
DAL

20.6
NYG

22.4
GB

20.5
SEA

20.6
NYG

20.0
STL

18.7
ARI

18.5
WAS

PIT

17.9
TEN

18.2
HOU

15.5
NE

BYE

16.3
SD

15.3
JAX

16.2
CIN

14.3
BAL

18.6
GB

14.5
CLE

14.3
BAL

17.6
IND

16.2
CIN

16.2
CHI

18.3
MIN

14.5
CLE

17.6
DET

SD

20.3
DAL

17.0
DEN

19.2
NYG

17.8
NE

16.3
PIT

20.6
OAK

17.2
PHI

21.4
KC

18.2
NYJ

BYE

17.2
BUF

17.0
WAS

20.6
OAK

17.1
MIA

20.0
IND

21.4
KC

17.0
DEN

SEA

16.8
JAX

17.3
ATL

16.4
ARI

16.2
WAS

17.7
STL

19.7
HOU

19.4
DAL

BYE

16.4
ARI

17.7
STL

18.6
SF

18.3
NYG

16.3
PHI

18.6
SF

19.4
TEN

19.1
IND

20.1
GB

SF

16.1
STL

14.7
PHI

17.8
DAL

14.8
ARI

17.5
IND

BYE

14.5
WAS

14.8
TB

16.7
NYG

16.0
CHI

16.6
SEA

17.8
TEN

14.8
ARI

16.6
SEA

15.2
JAX

16.1
STL

18.0
HOU

STL

19.7
SF

17.5
ARI

20.5
TEN

19.4
NYG

19.3
SEA

20.2
IND

19.7
NO

17.9
JAX

BYE

19.3
SEA

17.5
ARI

20.8
HOU

17.3
WAS

20.9
MIN

17.4
PHI

19.7
SF

20.5
DAL

TB

20.0
MIN

16.6
BUF

20.3
GB

19.3
DET

17.6
NYJ

16.5
MIA

BYE

18.9
SF

17.2
CAR

16.4
WAS

17.6
ATL

17.9
CHI

18.8
NO

17.2
CAR

17.2
NE

17.6
ATL

18.8
NO

TEN

16.4
PIT

16.8
BAL

18.7
STL

20.1
IND

20.7
HOU

18.7
CIN

17.4
ARI

20.7
OAK

17.0
CLE

BYE

17.8
JAX

19.6
SF

20.1
IND

20.7
HOU

19.2
SEA

17.2
MIA

17.8
JAX

WAS

15.7
CHI

17.4
DAL

BYE

16.2
SEA

14.2
DEN

18.5
KC

16.6
SF

16.3
NYG

14.3
PHI

14.5
TB

17.7
OAK

15.8
SD

15.7
STL

14.4
ARI

17.4
DAL

16.3
NYG

14.3
PHI

 


Table IIg: Passing TDs Look Ahead

 

TEAM

W1

W2

W3

W4

W5

W6

W7

W8

W9

W10

W11

W12

W13

W14

W15

W16

W17

ARI

1.3
NYG

1.2
STL

1.2
SEA

1.3
SF

1.0
CAR

BYE

1.3
TEN

1.4
DAL

1.2
SEA

1.3
DET

1.2
STL

1.0
JAX

1.3
SF

1.0
WAS

1.4
HOU

0.9
PHI

1.3
IND

ATL

1.0
PHI

1.2
SEA

1.1
BUF

1.4
MIN

1.0
NE

1.2
NO

1.1
NYJ

BYE

1.1
MIA

1.5
GB

1.1
TB

1.4
DET

1.0
CAR

1.2
NO

1.2
CHI

1.1
TB

1.0
CAR

BAL

1.2
IND

1.3
TEN

BYE

1.1
NYJ

1.3
DET

0.9
CLE

1.1
CHI

0.8
PIT

1.1
CIN

1.0
JAX

0.8
PIT

1.1
CIN

1.4
HOU

0.9
DEN

1.4
GB

1.3
MIN

0.9
CLE

BUF

1.7
HOU

1.3
TB

1.3
ATL

1.4
NO

1.3
MIA

1.3
NYJ

1.6
OAK

1.2
NE

BYE

1.7
KC

1.3
SD

1.2
CAR

1.3
MIA

1.2
NE

1.2
DEN

1.4
CIN

1.3
NYJ

CAR

1.7
NO

1.5
NE

1.5
MIA

1.9
GB

1.5
ARI

1.8
DET

BYE

1.8
MIN

1.6
TB

1.6
NYJ

1.6
CHI

1.5
BUF

1.5
ATL

1.6
TB

1.7
NO

1.9
DAL

1.5
ATL

CHI

0.8
WAS

1.2
DET

1.0
CIN

BYE

0.8
CLE

1.2
MIN

0.7
BAL

1.2
DET

1.0
NO

1.1
SF

0.8
CAR

0.9
TB

1.3
GB

0.7
PIT

0.9
ATL

1.3
GB

1.2
MIN

CIN

1.3
CLE

1.7
MIN

1.4
CHI

1.7
HOU

1.3
JAX

1.6
TEN

1.2
PIT

1.8
GB

1.2
BAL

BYE

1.5
IND

1.2
BAL

1.2
PIT

1.3
CLE

1.6
DET

1.3
BUF

1.7
KC

CLE

1.4
CIN

1.7
GB

1.5
IND

BYE

1.4
CHI

1.1
BAL

1.6
DET

1.7
HOU

1.6
TEN

1.1
PIT

1.3
MIA

1.6
MIN

1.2
JAX

1.4
CIN

1.6
OAK

1.1
PIT

1.1
BAL

DAL

1.2
SD

1.1
WAS

1.4
SF

1.5
OAK

1.1
PHI

1.5
NYG

1.3
SEA

1.2
ARI

BYE

1.1
PHI

1.5
DET

1.1
DEN

1.5
NYG

1.6
KC

1.1
WAS

1.2
CAR

1.3
STL

DEN

1.5
MIA

1.4
SD

1.8
KC

1.4
JAX

1.4
WAS

1.4
NE

1.7
NYG

1.3
PHI

BYE

1.8
OAK

1.5
NYJ

1.8
DAL

1.8
KC

1.3
BAL

1.5
BUF

1.8
OAK

1.4
SD

DET

1.6
GB

1.3
CHI

BYE

1.3
TB

1.0
BAL

1.2
CAR

1.1
CLE

1.3
CHI

1.5
MIN

1.2
ARI

1.6
DAL

1.2
ATL

1.5
MIN

1.6
GB

1.3
CIN

1.3
NO

1.0
PIT

GB

2.0
DET

1.7
CLE

1.8
TB

1.7
CAR

1.9
NO

BYE

2.1
MIN

1.8
CIN

1.6
PIT

1.7
ATL

2.1
MIN

1.6
PHI

1.8
CHI

2.0
DET

1.6
BAL

1.8
CHI

1.9
SEA

HOU

1.1
BUF

0.9
PIT

BYE

1.2
CIN

1.4
TEN

1.3
SEA

1.3
IND

1.0
CLE

1.1
JAX

1.3
IND

1.5
KC

1.3
STL

0.9
BAL

1.4
TEN

1.1
ARI

1.1
JAX

1.3
SF

IND

2.0
BAL

2.2
JAX

2.1
CLE

2.5
TEN

2.4
SF

2.3
STL

2.6
HOU

BYE

2.2
NE

2.6
HOU

2.3
CIN

2.0
PIT

2.5
TEN

2.2
JAX

2.2
SD

2.3
SEA

2.2
ARI

JAX

1.3
SEA

1.3
IND

1.2
NYJ

1.1
DEN

1.3
CIN

1.0
PIT

BYE

1.3
STL

1.5
HOU

1.0
BAL

1.4
TEN

1.1
ARI

1.1
CLE

1.3
IND

1.4
SF

1.5
HOU

1.4
TEN

KC

1.5
NYJ

1.8
OAK

1.4
DEN

1.3
PHI

BYE

1.4
WAS

1.5
MIA

1.4
SD

1.8
OAK

1.5
BUF

1.8
HOU

1.4
NE

1.4
DEN

1.8
DAL

1.7
NYG

1.4
SD

1.6
CIN

MIA

1.1
DEN

1.3
NYJ

1.2
CAR

BYE

1.2
BUF

1.3
TB

1.6
KC

1.3
NO

1.2
ATL

1.2
NE

1.1
CLE

1.5
OAK

1.2
BUF

1.2
SD

1.3
NYJ

1.5
TEN

1.2
NE

MIN

1.9
TB

1.9
CIN

2.0
NO

1.8
ATL

BYE

1.9
CHI

2.3
GB

1.8
CAR

2.1
DET

2.1
NYG

2.3
GB

1.8
CLE

2.1
DET

2.0
STL

1.7
PIT

1.7
BAL

1.9
CHI

NE

1.8
OAK

1.5
CAR

1.3
PIT

1.5
SD

1.5
ATL

1.4
DEN

BYE

1.5
BUF

1.7
IND

1.5
MIA

1.7
NO

1.9
KC

1.6
NYJ

1.5
BUF

1.6
TB

1.6
NYJ

1.5
MIA

NO

1.2
CAR

1.5
NYG

1.6
MIN

1.3
BUF

1.7
GB

1.3
ATL

1.4
STL

1.3
MIA

1.4
CHI

BYE

1.2
NE

1.3
NYJ

1.3
TB

1.3
ATL

1.2
CAR

1.6
DET

1.3
TB

NYG

0.9
ARI

1.1
NO

1.0
SD

1.1
STL

BYE

1.3
DAL

0.9
DEN

0.9
WAS

1.2
SF

1.3
MIN

0.9
PHI

1.1
SEA

1.3
DAL

0.9
PHI

1.4
KC

0.9
WAS

1.3
OAK

NYJ

1.6
KC

1.2
MIA

1.2
JAX

1.0
BAL

1.3
TB

1.2
BUF

1.2
ATL

BYE

1.2
SD

1.2
CAR

1.1
DEN

1.3
NO

1.2
NE

1.5
OAK

1.2
MIA

1.2
NE

1.2
BUF

OAK

1.3
NE

1.8
KC

1.3
PHI

1.7
DAL

BYE

1.3
SD

1.4
BUF

1.7
TEN

1.8
KC

1.3
DEN

1.3
WAS

1.4
MIA

1.3
SD

1.4
NYJ

1.3
CLE

1.3
DEN

1.6
NYG

PHI

1.6
ATL

1.8
SF

1.9
OAK

2.0
KC

2.0
DAL

BYE

1.6
SD

1.5
DEN

1.5
WAS

2.0
DAL