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Turn 4 Transitions
Natalie Anthony
11/16/2006


Ford 400

There can be only one

I can’t believe this is the last race of the season and we have to wait until February for the 2007 Nextel Cup Series season to begin. What the heck am I going to do for the next two months? It has been an amazing year and finally we will crown our 2006 Nextel Cup Champion. Even though the points state that 4 drivers are in contention (Jimmie Johnson, Matt Kenseth, Kevin Harvick, and Denny Hamlin) really there is only one who will be named the winner of the cup regardless of the current point standings of the other three. Jimmie Johnson would have to finish outside the 12th position not to win this year. Talk about a shoe in. Even though Jimmie statically doesn’t reign supreme at Homestead-Miami Speedway (HMS), with the momentum he has had in the last 9 races, nothing is stopping him. Homestead-Miami Speedway is an excellent track for the drivers to finalize a season of competition. Another mile and a half track, where chase contenders will be stressing beyond their boiling point and the rest of the pack will be driving to rake in as many points as possible to finish better than their opponents. Farewell NASCAR 2006, you’ve made us proud.

The Checkered Four
(Current point standings)

Kevin Harvick (3rd) Richard Childress Racing - Chevrolet – If he wins this race, he will tie Kasey Kahne for the most wins of the season (6). They only way Kevin can steal the Nextel Cup is for Jimmie Johnson to be off the lead lap, Matt Kenseth to finish outside the Top 30 and Denny Hamlin would have to finish behind Kevin. That’s a lot of if only. Kevin has the ability to run up front. He has 5 starts at HMS with a Top 5 and 4 Top 10’s.

Jeff Gordon (6th) Hendrick Motorsports – Chevrolet – Unfortunately for Jeff, as soon as the green flag waves on Sunday he will be officially mathematically eliminated from the chase for the Nextel Cup because once Jimmie Johnson crosses the start/finish line Jeff’s points just can’t add up. Now he will know how the rest of the contenders in the chase, that have fallen short in points, have felt the last few races. It has gotta’ suck. Jeff will run well, but all in vain. Jeff has raced at this track 7 times and has 3 Top 5’s and 6 Top 10’s.

Tony Stewart (11th) Joe Gibbs Racing – Chevrolet – Tony has made history at HMS with a race record in 1999 and he could make more this Sunday if he wins the race. He too can tie Kasey Kahne with the most wins for the 2006 season. I prefer Kasey to keep the title. I guarantee that since Tony rocks at HMS (Avg finish of 9th and 2 wins) he will be making every effort to steal the last race away from a chase contender. In your face.

Carl Edwards (12th) Roush Racing – Ford – I just love it when Carl does his back flips. It is just as exciting as Tony Stewart climbing a fence, or Kurt Busch making snow angels in the grass, and luckily for us we could see some gymnastics this weekend. Carl has only been to HMS 2 times and he has a pole, a Top 5 and a Top 10. The numbers don’t get any better than that unless he gets a win.

Underdogs
(Current point standings)

Jamie McMurray (24th) Roush Racing – Ford – Jamie tries so hard and still he manages to be involved in almost every wreck in a race. If he could just avoid destroying his car, he would do really well. Hey, maybe it isn’t Jamie. Maybe his spotter is visually impaired. Jamie needs to ignore the voice in his helmet and use his rearview and trust his judgment. Jamie has an average finish of 14th at HMS out of 4 races and has a race record for qualifying back in 2003, but it was in a Dodge.

Bobby Labonte (19th) Petty Enterprises – Dodge – I can’t wait until next season. Bobby has just been phenomenal this season. And he will end his first season with Petty Enterprises on a high note. He has visited HMS 7 times and he has a win, with 3 Top 5’s, and 4 Top 10’s. He can maintain his points this season and maybe even move up a spot by the end of the race.

Most likely to be a lap down
(Current point standings)

Matt Kenseth (2nd) Roush Racing – Ford – Matt came in 3rd at HMS last season, but out of 6 starts, he only has 1 Top 5 and 1 Top 10 and that is not going to be enough to grab the Nextel Cup. Matt has given his all this season. He stays in the fight when he is combating a troublesome engine or unavoidable contact that alters the aerodynamics of his car, but in the end his team will come up short.

Brian Vickers (16th) Hendrick Motorsports – Chevrolet – Well this will be a great way to end a season with a bang. How about being a lap down? It will just reconfirm Rick Hendrick’s decision to trade Brian. Oh wait, that was a mutual agreement. Right? Brian, you stole a little glory this season, but the season is no more. Brian has been to HMS 3 times and can’t seem to do better than 18th place. Bye-bye!

Track Stats
Homestead-Miami Speedway (Homestead, FL)

Ford 400 November 19, 2006 (Sunday) – 2:00 pm - NBC
(Sister Tracks – Lowe’s, California, Texas, Kansas Dover, Chicagoland, Michigan, Darlington, & Atlanta)

Ford 400 (November 20, 2005)
Top 10 Results
1. Greg Biffle
2. Mark Martin
3. Matt Kenseth
4. Carl Edwards
5. Casey Mears
6. Dave Blaney
7. Ryan Newman
8. Kevin Harvick
9. Jeff Gordon
10. Jeremy Mayfield




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